{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-25W001XW55",
  "slug": "reserve-bank-of-australia-decision-in-june",
  "question": "Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make a decision in June?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "economic-policy",
    "economy",
    "central-banking",
    "australia",
    "monetary-policy"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Reserve Bank of Australia's June 16, 2026 Monetary Policy Board decision on the cash rate target. Three mutually exclusive Polymarket contracts cover decrease, increase, and no-change outcomes, together summing to full probability. All three resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against the RBA's official post-meeting media release. The authoritative source is the Reserve Bank of Australia's published policy statement.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-SBMH2QY3X2",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-26DYXDTQW3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-25W001XW55",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb803406ccafae5640ca20d7dd14d594343899dfb011b267897ee211c517e4aee",
      "question": "Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relev",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Decrease: The Reserve Bank of Australia's official media release following its Monetary Policy Board meeting on June 16, 2026, determines whether the target cash rate increased, decreased, or remained unchanged relative to the prior level.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-16T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-16T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No Change\" bracket.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html",
        "sources": [
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Reserve Bank of Australia",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1728.9950000000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 19606.988868999997,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-30D02D266B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "interest-rates",
        "monetary-policy",
        "rba",
        "rba cash rate"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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      "question": "Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Increase: The Reserve Bank of Australia's official media release following its Monetary Policy Board meeting on June 16, 2026, determines whether the target cash rate increased, decreased, or remained unchanged relative to the prior level.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-16T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-16T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No Change\" bracket.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 6514.599498999999,
      "volume_total_usd": 20117.70720400001,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-F9A5C235D9",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q6R0Y5D478",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-25W001XW55",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8644f95a4ddf30f4428f7250e2a9ea3a9d3b2b52942e2116c61bc8c5bca2555a",
      "question": "Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relev",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "No Change: The Reserve Bank of Australia's official media release following its Monetary Policy Board meeting on June 16, 2026, determines whether the target cash rate increased, decreased, or remained unchanged relative to the prior level.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-16T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-16T00:00:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No Change\" bracket.",
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        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1928.513263,
      "volume_total_usd": 16337.630490999996,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-1F646A43A4",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "rba cash rate"
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  "resolution_log": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-26DYXDTQW3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-16T00:00:00Z",
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      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
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      "outcome": "NO",
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      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q6R0Y5D478",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-16T00:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
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    "ref": "CM-EVT-25W001XW55",
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