{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-SLXCWLFCV6",
  "slug": "reya-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch",
  "question": "Reya FDV one day after launch",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      70000000,
      150000000
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 70000000,
        "prob": 52
      },
      {
        "threshold": 150000000,
        "prob": 28
      },
      {
        "threshold": 200000000,
        "prob": 16
      },
      {
        "threshold": 300000000,
        "prob": 6
      },
      {
        "threshold": 400000000,
        "prob": 3
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1000000000,
        "prob": 0
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "fdv-valuation",
    "launch-metrics",
    "reya-protocol",
    "price-discovery",
    "token-economics"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Reya's token fully diluted valuation one day after launch, defined as total supply multiplied by price on the most liquid venue. Six Polymarket binary strikes span $70M to $1B, forming an implied probability curve across FDV thresholds. All six resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. No cross-platform contrast exists; all markets are Polymarket-native binaries at discrete strikes.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-95VRGFLQ00",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.26,
    "implied_probability": 0.26
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WZDPDTWP50",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SLXCWLFCV6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x61b69b12cedab2c1fe4cb58d73ce4ced1a4183c404705445a6b1e8edecb11e11",
      "question": "Reya FDV above $1B one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Reya's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Reya (https://x.com/reya_xyz) doesn't launch a token by De",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$1B: The listed company's token fully diluted valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price on the most liquid trading venue at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch, determines resolution.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Reya's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Reya (https://x.com/reya_xyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/reya_xyz",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/reya_xyz",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/reya_xyz",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 41,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.006,
      "implied_probability": 0.006,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.52,
      "volume_total_usd": 181391.31109699997,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-3CA966C95F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "reya",
        "reya fdv"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-S7900Z5QH2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SLXCWLFCV6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x384e2707bbb95da4bfa6f330fe7d5ccbec1c0a85e20be900cbf599987588e1a4",
      "question": "Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Reya's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Reya (https://x.com/reya_xyz) doesn't launch a token by De",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$200M: The listed company's token fully diluted valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price on the most liquid trading venue at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch, determines resolution.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Reya's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Reya (https://x.com/reya_xyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/reya_xyz",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/reya_xyz",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/reya_xyz",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 41,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.19,
      "implied_probability": 0.19,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 131445.14730000048,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 200000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-461E9C2000",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "reya",
        "reya fdv"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RVWWDVY3N3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SLXCWLFCV6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe3d6d7467d84542e4f5e2a30ab63d4175cf55fb676afab690e24cd66c0b5973f",
      "question": "Reya FDV above $400M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Reya's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Reya (https://x.com/reya_xyz) doesn't launch a token by De",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$400M: The listed company's token fully diluted valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price on the most liquid trading venue at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch, determines resolution.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Reya's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Reya (https://x.com/reya_xyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/reya_xyz",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/reya_xyz",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/reya_xyz",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 41,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.055,
      "implied_probability": 0.055,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 29388.34631499999,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 400000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-785ECE9E07",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "reya",
        "reya fdv"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-95VRGFLQ00",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SLXCWLFCV6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe56b73034a1a9f49ecfa624e9d9ca7e2a6e770e8b1881a0062725567c7ee7bff",
      "question": "Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Reya's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Reya (https://x.com/reya_xyz) doesn't launch a token by De",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$150M: The listed company's token fully diluted valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price on the most liquid trading venue at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch, determines resolution.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Reya's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Reya (https://x.com/reya_xyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/reya_xyz",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/reya_xyz",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/reya_xyz",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 41,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.26,
      "implied_probability": 0.26,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2.66,
      "volume_total_usd": 79512.15511300006,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 150000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-BC2CEE883D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "reya",
        "reya fdv"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TCCYGKQL30",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SLXCWLFCV6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd6ef920c0c8d3628dcfae25834c816e32affc4e2903d4291536f6c56584ae331",
      "question": "Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Reya's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Reya (https://x.com/reya_xyz) doesn't launch a token by De",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$300M: The listed company's token fully diluted valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price on the most liquid trading venue at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch, determines resolution.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Reya's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Reya (https://x.com/reya_xyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/reya_xyz",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/reya_xyz",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/reya_xyz",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 41,
        "caps": [
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        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.08,
      "implied_probability": 0.08,
      "volume_24h_usd": 20,
      "volume_total_usd": 30576.481592999993,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 300000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-5CB2D8F851",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "reya",
        "reya fdv"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G996F9TNP6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SLXCWLFCV6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5afab68955def438268a632c648ad6a296ba749f934cc203410f5f615924b4fe",
      "question": "Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Reya's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Reya (https://x.com/reya_xyz) doesn't launch a token by De",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$70M: The listed company's token fully diluted valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price on the most liquid trading venue at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch, determines resolution.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Reya's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Reya (https://x.com/reya_xyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/reya_xyz",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/reya_xyz",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/reya_xyz",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 41,
        "caps": [
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        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.32,
      "implied_probability": 0.32,
      "volume_24h_usd": 50,
      "volume_total_usd": 14755.500828999995,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 70000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-70E1DA3E93",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "reya",
        "reya fdv"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-SLXCWLFCV6",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}