{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-80DL28CY08",
  "slug": "rhode-island-republican-senate-primary-winner",
  "question": "Will a Republican win the Rhode Island Senate primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
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    "elections",
    "us-senate",
    "rhode-island",
    "primary-2026",
    "republican-nomination"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the Rhode Island Republican Senate primary, scheduled for September 2026. All 18 contracts are structured as per-candidate binaries on Polymarket; collectively they span named contenders Allen Waters and Raymond McKay, plus placeholder slots. The probabilities must sum to one across the contract set, making relative pricing the signal. Resolution follows the Rhode Island Republican Party's first announced primary results, confirmed via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
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    "implied_probability": 0.013,
    "as_of": "2026-09-06T03:00:39.693Z"
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  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
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      "question": "Will Allen Waters be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Rhode island.\n\nIf no 2026 Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-09-08T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Rhode island.\n\nIf no 2026 Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
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      "question": "Will Raymond McKay be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?",
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      "question": "Will Candidate B be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?",
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      "question": "Will Candidate C be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?",
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      "question": "Will Candidate D be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?",
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      "question": "Will Candidate E be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Rhode island.\n\nIf no 2026 Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
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      "question": "Will Candidate F be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Rhode island.\n\nIf no 2026 Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
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}