{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-97CLD05R72",
  "slug": "rio-grande-do-sul-governor-election-winner",
  "question": "Who will win the Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "brazil",
    "rio-grande-do-sul",
    "governor-race",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election. All 16 markets are binary candidate contracts on Polymarket, each pricing one contender's probability of winning. Together they form a mutually exclusive, exhaustive set covering named candidates and placeholder slots. Resolution follows Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (TSE) declaration, verified through Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-N43RLV5L07",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.41,
    "implied_probability": 0.41
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2NX23DT125",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-97CLD05R72",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x198cd4e2e43288a23eead7fdf3f32d4d247a469177b5f60b5348b6e711438215",
      "question": "Will Marcelo Maranata win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?",
      "description": "The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated b",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Marcelo Maranata: Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (TSE) will declare the winner of the Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, or October 25, 2026 if a runoff occurs.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "tse.jus.br",
            "url": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.004,
      "implied_probability": 0.004,
      "volume_24h_usd": 28.7,
      "volume_total_usd": 5432.426172000003,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "brazil",
        "election",
        "governor",
        "marcelo maranata",
        "rio-grande-do-sul"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-S8JLGKYV80",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-97CLD05R72",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf2b1a83332b89ad5863c1ab256f3310de31fc0ede92c799c31abb0bac8b22cfd",
      "question": "Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?",
      "description": "The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated b",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Luciano Zucco: Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (TSE) will declare the winner of the Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, or October 25, 2026 if a runoff occurs.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
        "sources": [
          {
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            "url": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.4,
      "implied_probability": 0.4,
      "volume_24h_usd": 50,
      "volume_total_usd": 24792.858778000053,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "brazil",
        "election",
        "governor",
        "luciano zucco",
        "rio-grande-do-sul"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N43RLV5L07",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-97CLD05R72",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0e9deb96ed3c550e7054334ccf8d5b79a9bf8e1507957ef37e121414f04ef3fb",
      "question": "Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?",
      "description": "The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated b",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Juliana Brizola: Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (TSE) will declare the winner of the Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, or October 25, 2026 if a runoff occurs.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "tse.jus.br",
            "url": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.41,
      "implied_probability": 0.41,
      "volume_24h_usd": 50,
      "volume_total_usd": 27392.24724000001,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "brazil",
        "election",
        "governor",
        "juliana brizola",
        "rio-grande-do-sul"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-67C2Y5SBT9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-97CLD05R72",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x58e10c21ad0186c75ddcfb99847f8d2c1914ae51bea281ec89a0eb016e24ef4a",
      "question": "Will Gabriel Souza win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?",
      "description": "The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated b",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Gabriel Souza: Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (TSE) will declare the winner of the Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, or October 25, 2026 if a runoff occurs.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "tse.jus.br",
            "url": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.098,
      "implied_probability": 0.098,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 4191.433232000005,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "brazil",
        "election",
        "gabriel souza",
        "governor",
        "rio-grande-do-sul"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BJRB62H1H8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-97CLD05R72",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9457ffa56acd73c036cdb47ed0ee2e83f38ef8e5adf5d2cfed5222b428b14c2b",
      "question": "Will Luis Carlos Heinze win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?",
      "description": "The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated b",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Luis Carlos Heinze: Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (TSE) will declare the winner of the Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, or October 25, 2026 if a runoff occurs.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "tse.jus.br",
            "url": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 1203.778999999999,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "brazil",
        "election",
        "governor",
        "luis carlos heinze",
        "rio-grande-do-sul"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CB1W3RNXX1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-97CLD05R72",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa82d283c12df803a607b665ad1e1187b07a80c77b37c82cdf05e98cc96fd06a2",
      "question": "Will Candidate B win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?",
      "description": "The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated b",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate B: Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (TSE) will declare the winner of the Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, or October 25, 2026 if a runoff occurs.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "tse.jus.br",
            "url": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "brazil",
        "candidate",
        "election",
        "governor",
        "rio-grande-do-sul"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BYWTQ799Z8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-97CLD05R72",
      "platform": "polymarket",
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