{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-XVC9MP2GB0",
  "slug": "romanian-parliament-dissolved-by-july-31",
  "question": "Will the Romanian parliament be dissolved by 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "romania",
    "parliament",
    "2026",
    "constitutional-law",
    "government-dissolution"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Romania's parliament is formally dissolved by three sequential deadlines: July 31, August 31, and December 31, 2026. The three Polymarket contracts are structurally nested binary outcomes; each later deadline subsumes the earlier ones. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle referencing official Romanian government announcements or credible news consensus. A July 31 dissolution would automatically resolve all three contracts affirmatively.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-JLD9S6LYZ2",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.001,
    "as_of": null
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JLD9S6LYZ2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XVC9MP2GB0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x403a2992ce3adb0df0af7054074191b5dffe20fbd3bdcd4b993224529f6d4e4b",
      "question": "Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Official announcements from the government of Romania or credible news consensus determine whether the sitting parliament dissolves by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-01T08:50:39Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
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            "name": "official information from the government of Romania",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "implied_probability": 0.001,
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      "volume_total_usd": 111581.76083999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XVC9MP2GB0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xca7044f29ca60458d97a7085c9d99b6aae0212addfcef883164560320680beb1",
      "question": "Romanian parliament dissolved by August 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "August 31: Official announcements from the government of Romania or credible news consensus determine whether the sitting parliament dissolves by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-02T05:00:38.874Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 680.5917029999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XVC9MP2GB0",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x8df940be829f2a5a39a44654b9d70e1c15ebd68c06377fbadf69ffad795ba7ba",
      "question": "Romanian parliament dissolved by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31: Official announcements from the government of Romania or credible news consensus determine whether the sitting parliament dissolves by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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      "price_as_of": "2026-08-05T01:00:40.652Z",
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JLD9S6LYZ2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-08-01T08:50:39Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-XVC9MP2GB0",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}