{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-6NC4SS84M0",
  "slug": "russia-parliamentary-election-2nd-place",
  "question": "Will a party other than United Russia finish in second place in the Russian parliamentary election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "russia",
    "parliamentary-elections",
    "2026",
    "electoral-outcomes"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which party finishes second in seat count in the September 2026 Russian State Duma election. Each Polymarket contract covers a distinct party candidate for the runner-up position; together they form a mutually exclusive set. All contracts resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against official State Duma seat tallies, with ties broken by valid votes received. KPRF and LDPR are the historically relevant contenders for second place behind United Russia.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-61C0M7PTC1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.05,
    "implied_probability": 0.05
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YPDZJ1HQ39",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6NC4SS84M0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd78b6917ee08627da7a527ed3b18700b5479da7b241ce1264cf1a8da806caf72",
      "question": "Will United Russia (ER) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. I",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "United Russia (ER): The Russian State Duma election results, ranked by seats won and broken by valid votes received, resolve by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 26,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.004,
      "implied_probability": 0.004,
      "volume_24h_usd": 78.98,
      "volume_total_usd": 16147.503590999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "russia parliamentary election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-THG190KPR5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6NC4SS84M0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3ce5bcddc5a091f16555440e6ad0ffa76b37db258c91aea3d24682021a8c01d4",
      "question": "Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. I",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF): The Russian State Duma election results, ranked by seats won and broken by valid votes received, resolve by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 26,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.84,
      "implied_probability": 0.84,
      "volume_24h_usd": 588.11294,
      "volume_total_usd": 39429.83792900001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "russia parliamentary election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z33LD6JR89",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6NC4SS84M0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc903de43208a0f75634b7a9ad8482bade60ecae21eae290ce5d1963593aebf1a",
      "question": "Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. I",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP): The Russian State Duma election results, ranked by seats won and broken by valid votes received, resolve by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 26,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 68,
      "volume_total_usd": 10547.639562,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "russia parliamentary election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-61C0M7PTC1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6NC4SS84M0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x112fc8452dde2a783a2dc139bae65454a317532858336b61ad6744d63b1bb569",
      "question": "Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. I",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR): The Russian State Duma election results, ranked by seats won and broken by valid votes received, resolve by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 26,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.05,
      "implied_probability": 0.05,
      "volume_24h_usd": 76.91,
      "volume_total_usd": 43449.833657999996,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "russia parliamentary election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2NC389X0W8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6NC4SS84M0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x65d9ff5dd4b1cd8974f14335c2bd1fc5f133c1228aeb6e5d83c80f7432a120f0",
      "question": "Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. I",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "New People (NL): The Russian State Duma election results, ranked by seats won and broken by valid votes received, resolve by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 26,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.11,
      "implied_probability": 0.11,
      "volume_24h_usd": 140.42000000000002,
      "volume_total_usd": 23979.711646,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "russia parliamentary election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-18WW0ND9Y3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6NC4SS84M0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x05f4f776ef192066ae89dac56efb17377a8ae8b0b512d2ad7dc00ddf2dcc7887",
      "question": "Will Rodina win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. I",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Rodina: The Russian State Duma election results, ranked by seats won and broken by valid votes received, resolve by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 26,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 68,
      "volume_total_usd": 10611.413015999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "russia parliamentary election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2WMKPN92X5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6NC4SS84M0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1820d32cac9e591aed6a079206043a40f2b88745eed8aea3f4c672e574b1f87d",
      "question": "Will Civic Platform (GP) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. I",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Civic Platform (GP): The Russian State Duma election results, ranked by seats won and broken by valid votes received, resolve by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 26,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 68,
      "volume_total_usd": 9140.098237999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "russia parliamentary election"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H2DGK4KTF9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6NC4SS84M0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc7cf06c6cdde3e3e72e61dc76d77c353d654bf551cbb556d92a3c13d1d5350ac",
      "question": "Will Other win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. I",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Other: The Russian State Duma election results, ranked by seats won and broken by valid votes received, resolve by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source": null,
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        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "caps": [
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LGPHP94YF4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6NC4SS84M0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x09b65834e9c9ad3ff24d02413a027a18afc23b2229217e7de948fad17d6f14ac",
      "question": "Will Party A win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. I",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party A: The Russian State Duma election results, ranked by seats won and broken by valid votes received, resolve by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 26,
        "caps": [
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      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VL05P39F49",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6NC4SS84M0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x018bb6eef0fcf765156327d7bae3d228acb2bcde5491865f270d6807a61d6cca",
      "question": "Will Party B win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. I",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party B: The Russian State Duma election results, ranked by seats won and broken by valid votes received, resolve by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 26,
        "caps": [
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      "implied_probability": 0,
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      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NNLGKTYZN3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6NC4SS84M0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd932e03fdd7bedca08dfb385ede2032c9fc3fda12e02bfaacd0d2fbccd541636",
      "question": "Will Party C win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. I",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party C: The Russian State Duma election results, ranked by seats won and broken by valid votes received, resolve by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 26,
        "caps": [
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          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JJ8VVBVKW2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6NC4SS84M0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x435a9fc904671c3025dfa8a7b0970fd5f5f98348e66d12ac0e76a5c5aaad4d74",
      "question": "Will Party D win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. I",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party D: The Russian State Duma election results, ranked by seats won and broken by valid votes received, resolve by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 26,
        "caps": [
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          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MH0Z2H3FG1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6NC4SS84M0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xedf186e0b49990ac2cd898c41fe13a55619f3fd9b728234b37f271ad53970760",
      "question": "Will Party E win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. I",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party E: The Russian State Duma election results, ranked by seats won and broken by valid votes received, resolve by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source": null,
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        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 26,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NFX2C21041",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6NC4SS84M0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9a21eaf43429866d7ece449d6f3efae979edfd5906fba97b7114fb3bc9a05411",
      "question": "Will Party F win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. I",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party F: The Russian State Duma election results, ranked by seats won and broken by valid votes received, resolve by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source": null,
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        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "caps": [
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5NLRD7HPB1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6NC4SS84M0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7e212d9658bbdc2098e0d46055ce2f4f971202fc85a69adba56398d99c5ec569",
      "question": "Will Party G win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. I",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party G: The Russian State Duma election results, ranked by seats won and broken by valid votes received, resolve by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source": null,
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        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "caps": [
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      "tags": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4M7NKXW754",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6NC4SS84M0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
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      "question": "Will Party H win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. I",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party H: The Russian State Duma election results, ranked by seats won and broken by valid votes received, resolve by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "caps": [
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      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6NC4SS84M0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
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      "question": "Will Party I win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. I",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party I: The Russian State Duma election results, ranked by seats won and broken by valid votes received, resolve by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 26,
        "caps": [
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      "implied_probability": 0,
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      "tags": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-T45XBM3486",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6NC4SS84M0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
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      "question": "Will Party J win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. I",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party J: The Russian State Duma election results, ranked by seats won and broken by valid votes received, resolve by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 26,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7R91DBG589",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6NC4SS84M0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x56d58f615227708eb17cf1c9a47cc6873c153c8df01588ec53d4cdf0c5a4227e",
      "question": "Will Party K win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. I",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party K: The Russian State Duma election results, ranked by seats won and broken by valid votes received, resolve by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 26,
        "caps": [
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          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
        "russia parliamentary election"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XSWZ7N3S36",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6NC4SS84M0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5c1e127861444bdd58018f31e0bfbb6bfa9ebdb5fa7f8c623275ef0bc28795be",
      "question": "Will Party L win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. I",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party L: The Russian State Duma election results, ranked by seats won and broken by valid votes received, resolve by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 26,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZKP02MQT62",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6NC4SS84M0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb10ca590ae684cdbd31adab8f73ae06ae1e886779ec90c0337537b6aa172a0a5",
      "question": "Will Party M win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. I",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party M: The Russian State Duma election results, ranked by seats won and broken by valid votes received, resolve by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source": null,
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        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "caps": [
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      "question": "Will Party N win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. I",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party N: The Russian State Duma election results, ranked by seats won and broken by valid votes received, resolve by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
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        "caps": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-22PVMKJZF6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6NC4SS84M0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc444ec4413bcdb5a8a525e2fdbe30d6de13026ca2f3f594f427e8d6710542b9d",
      "question": "Will Party O win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. I",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party O: The Russian State Duma election results, ranked by seats won and broken by valid votes received, resolve by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 26,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VR53SVKFF0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6NC4SS84M0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
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      "question": "Will Party P win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. I",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party P: The Russian State Duma election results, ranked by seats won and broken by valid votes received, resolve by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 26,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9WBYT363S6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6NC4SS84M0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf1683477d05c862aa3b3ebc0ba63d5416b37eb958e63bb689cffbd7d4393c839",
      "question": "Will Party Q win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. I",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party Q: The Russian State Duma election results, ranked by seats won and broken by valid votes received, resolve by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 26,
        "caps": [
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          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XS1JX8ZB50",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6NC4SS84M0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8f5146bd5d7a5de21c0614e3dde4fccfed29ba8818896d711ea3e89dbd2e233b",
      "question": "Will Party R win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. I",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party R: The Russian State Duma election results, ranked by seats won and broken by valid votes received, resolve by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source": null,
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        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "caps": [
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3P85VHB9Y6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6NC4SS84M0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0b45ddad1d26e601d9ec4ab4579f4b6e7c55609e2fe6829472b9e57fcae87bce",
      "question": "Will Party S win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. I",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party S: The Russian State Duma election results, ranked by seats won and broken by valid votes received, resolve by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "sources": [
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6NC4SS84M0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xcfb17c0be8652ea60204141c18be88a89f9621a81175329090bb03562364df4b",
      "question": "Will Party T win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. I",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party T: The Russian State Duma election results, ranked by seats won and broken by valid votes received, resolve by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source": null,
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        "sources": [
          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "caps": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C4F89JTF98",
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      "platform": "polymarket",
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      "question": "Will Party U win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. I",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Party U: The Russian State Duma election results, ranked by seats won and broken by valid votes received, resolve by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "caps": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JCX4GGCPB9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6NC4SS84M0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
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      "question": "Will Party V win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. I",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party V: The Russian State Duma election results, ranked by seats won and broken by valid votes received, resolve by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "score": 26,
        "caps": [
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      "tags": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6PVV3PZ856",
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      "platform": "polymarket",
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      "question": "Will Party W win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. I",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party W: The Russian State Duma election results, ranked by seats won and broken by valid votes received, resolve by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 26,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QL3T07VRQ6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6NC4SS84M0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
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      "question": "Will Party X win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. I",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party X: The Russian State Duma election results, ranked by seats won and broken by valid votes received, resolve by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 26,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
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