{
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    "type": "free_key_offer",
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    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-BQGJYFXHP8",
  "slug": "sachsen-anhalt-parliamentary-elections-2nd-place",
  "question": "Will the Green Party finish in second place in the Sachsen-Anhalt state election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "germany",
    "sachsen-anhalt",
    "2026",
    "parliamentary-elections"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which party finishes second by seat count in the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election on September 6, 2026. Polymarket lists each named party as a separate binary contract, pricing outcome per candidate party. All markets resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against official Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election results. Seat ties or disputed counts could complicate resolution across simultaneously active contracts.",
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-0DBN8546T0",
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    "implied_probability": 0.94
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xbb333a67a021476c97c9ac368e9d280ca43fe09782042d3ada92e48955c6a90c",
      "question": "Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.\n\nIf voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by th",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "CDU: Official results from the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election on September 6, 2026 determine which party wins the second-most seats, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by January 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-06T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-06T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.\n\nIf voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).",
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      "question": "Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?",
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      "underlying_reference": "AfD: Official results from the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election on September 6, 2026 determine which party wins the second-most seats, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by January 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-06T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-06T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.\n\nIf voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).",
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      "question": "Will SPD win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.\n\nIf voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by th",
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      "underlying_reference": "SPD: Official results from the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election on September 6, 2026 determine which party wins the second-most seats, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by January 31, 2027.",
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      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.\n\nIf voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).",
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            "name": "official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/)",
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      "question": "Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.\n\nIf voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by th",
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      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "close_at": "2026-09-06T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-06T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.\n\nIf voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).",
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            "name": "official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/)",
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      "question": "Will The Left win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.\n\nIf voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by th",
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      "close_at": "2026-09-06T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-06T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.\n\nIf voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/",
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          {
            "name": "anhalt.de",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/)",
            "url": null,
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      "question": "Will FDP win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.\n\nIf voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by th",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "FDP: Official results from the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election on September 6, 2026 determine which party wins the second-most seats, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by January 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-06T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-06T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.\n\nIf voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
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            "url": "anhalt.de/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de",
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-BQGJYFXHP8",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}