{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-FLWXD81WN4",
  "slug": "scotus-accepts-sports-event-contract-case-by-july-31-2026",
  "question": "Will SCOTUS accept a sports event contract case by the settlement date?",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "scotus-decision",
    "sports-contracts",
    "legal-outcome",
    "2026",
    "supreme-court"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether the Supreme Court accepts a sports event contract case by three sequential deadlines in 2026. Each Polymarket binary resolves via the UMA Optimistic Oracle, with deadlines at July 31, October 31, and December 31. The July 31 market closes first, creating a cascade: early acceptance resolves all three markets affirmatively. Bettors effectively price cumulative acceptance probability across the Court's 2026 term calendar.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-X9T5MX77P9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.032,
    "implied_probability": 0.032
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-X9T5MX77P9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FLWXD81WN4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x139ba0e7f931f09466c0fb27fc8ddb5e77ce9d1e2bdc953a5f22765bf779452f",
      "question": "SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?     ",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case explicitly concerning the legality, regulation, or jurisdictional authority over sports event contracts by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "July 31: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-01T06:04:36Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case explicitly concerning the legality, regulation, or jurisdictional authority over sports event contracts by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities.\n\nThe certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website. The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify. \n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting. ",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "the official SCOTUS docket or orders list",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "credible legal reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 54,
        "caps": [
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          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.032,
      "implied_probability": 0.032,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 960210.4635689999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-0BC8290724",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "contract",
        "scotus",
        "sports law",
        "supreme court",
        "supreme court sports event"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2PNTLH8QZ1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FLWXD81WN4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8ddcc46ae8bd053ca1be1754de7a167ec2423320456392a0fa39f8f712787602",
      "question": "SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by October 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case explicitly concerning the legality, regulation, or jurisdictional authority over sports event contracts by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to s",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "October 31: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-10-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case explicitly concerning the legality, regulation, or jurisdictional authority over sports event contracts by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities.\n\nThe certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website. The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify. \n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting. ",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": null,
      "implied_probability": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 20,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-A1F07875B4",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "scotus",
        "sports law",
        "supreme court",
        "supreme court sports event"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-K5RMYX1631",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FLWXD81WN4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x68e2344a2ce725ca99f3b93df06f27a71f3a893a38e8a6a78f8d85bd2698eb20",
      "question": "SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case explicitly concerning the legality, regulation, or jurisdictional authority over sports event contracts by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case explicitly concerning the legality, regulation, or jurisdictional authority over sports event contracts by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities.\n\nThe certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website. The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify. \n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting. ",
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        "source": null,
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 12835.574403999997,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-A7C79CAFED",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "scotus",
        "sports law",
        "supreme court",
        "supreme court sports event"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
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  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-X9T5MX77P9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-01T06:04:36Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
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    "ref": "CM-EVT-FLWXD81WN4",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}