{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-L2GSTD8DB5",
  "slug": "scotus-lets-trump-fire-ftc-commissioners-in-trump-v-slaughter",
  "question": "Will SCOTUS rule that Trump can fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "trump",
    "scotus",
    "ftc",
    "executive-power",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether the Supreme Court rules in favor of executive removal power over FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter. Resolution depends on the Court issuing a qualifying opinion by December 31, 2026, via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. Only one platform structures this event, so no cross-platform contrast applies. The authoritative source is the Supreme Court's published decision in Trump v. Slaughter.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-VL754VKC93",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VL754VKC93",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L2GSTD8DB5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x082116a4d4d6e84fabe4539106f6d026d0e9a974ad4bca81768fdbbe3fea158e",
      "question": "SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court, in Trump v. Slaughter, rules to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe Supreme Court will be considered to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States if they issue a decision in Trump v. Slaughter overruling or substantially limiting Humphrey's Executor v. United States (1935), including ruling that the President may remove FTC commissioners at will.\n\nIf the Supreme court ruling in Trump v. Slaughter affirms that for-cause removal protections fo",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The Supreme Court's decision and opinion in Trump v. Slaughter, issued by December 31, 2026, determines whether Humphrey's Executor v. United States is overturned or substantially limited.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court, in Trump v. Slaughter, rules to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe Supreme Court will be considered to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States if they issue a decision in Trump v. Slaughter overruling or substantially limiting Humphrey's Executor v. United States (1935), including ruling that the President may remove FTC commissioners at will.\n\nIf the Supreme court ruling in Trump v. Slaughter affirms that for-cause removal protections for FTC commissioners remain constitutional or if the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Trump v. Slaughter is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "U.S. Supreme Court",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
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        "score": 54,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 21774.763504999995,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ftc",
        "judicial",
        "regulatory",
        "scotus",
        "separation of powers",
        "supreme court",
        "supreme court trump slaughter",
        "trump"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
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  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VL754VKC93",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T06:00:59.667Z",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-L2GSTD8DB5",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}