{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-4HHYC680N8",
  "slug": "scotus-strikes-down-trumps-birthright-citizenship-eo",
  "question": "Will the Supreme Court of the United States strike down Trump's Birthright Citizenship Executive Order?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "trump",
    "scotus",
    "birthright-citizenship",
    "constitutional-law",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether the U.S. Supreme Court will strike down President Trump's Executive Order on birthright citizenship before August 31, 2026. A ruling against the EO would assert Fourteenth Amendment citizenship guarantees override executive action. Only one platform structures this event, as a binary yes/no outcome on Polymarket. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, referencing the Supreme Court of the United States as the authoritative source.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-Y75HS447S9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y75HS447S9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-4HHYC680N8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x12609f33bc603cb234db2af1d502d143587b697bdc479ddb9344401dbf987914",
      "question": "SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?",
      "description": "The Supreme Court is hearing arguments on the merits of Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/protecting-the-meaning-and-value-of-american-citizenship/) which directed that children born in the United States would not automatically receive U.S. citizenship if their parents were in the country unlawfully or on certain temporary visas.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States rules that Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The Supreme Court of the United States' decision on the constitutionality of Trump's birthright citizenship Executive Order, issued by August 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The Supreme Court is hearing arguments on the merits of Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/protecting-the-meaning-and-value-of-american-citizenship/) which directed that children born in the United States would not automatically receive U.S. citizenship if their parents were in the country unlawfully or on certain temporary visas.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States rules that Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” may not be enforced to deny citizenship to children born in the United States, by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying ruling must clearly and finally rule that the order, in whole, is unconstitutional or cannot lawfully take effect, or that the order cannot be enforced to deny citizenship to children born in the United States. \n\nProcedural rulings that do not clearly resolve whether the order may lawfully be enforced to deny citizenship to children born in the United States will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”.\n\nIf a Supreme Court ruling on this case clearly and finally permits the order to deny citizenship to children born in the United States, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the Executive Order is withdrawn prior to any qualifying Supreme Court ruling on the order, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/protecting-the-meaning-and-value-of-american-citizenship/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "whitehouse.gov",
            "url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/protecting-the-meaning-and-value-of-american-citizenship/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Supreme Court of the United States",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 55,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 25.080000000000002,
      "volume_total_usd": 136745.68938400008,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "constitutional law",
        "executive order",
        "scotus",
        "supreme court",
        "trump birthright citizenship"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y75HS447S9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-08-31T00:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T06:00:59.667Z",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-4HHYC680N8",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}