{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-TRRJX6C1D5",
  "slug": "senateid-26",
  "question": "Idaho Senate winner?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
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  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "idaho-senate",
    "us-elections",
    "2027",
    "republican-lean",
    "senate-race"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the Idaho Senate race, resolving by January 4, 2027. One market prices a Republican win; the other prices a Democratic win. Both use Kalshi staff determination. The named candidates are Jim Risch (Republican) and David Roth (Democratic).",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-F737PNBKH3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.966
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-F737PNBKH3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TRRJX6C1D5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "SENATEID-26-R",
      "question": "Will Republicans win the Senate race in Idaho?",
      "description": "Jim Risch",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Jim Risch: The named candidate's party affiliation resolves according to Kalshi staff determination by January 4, 2027, based on official United States Congress records.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Idaho for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "United States Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "United States Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "United States Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0.966,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5.1681,
      "volume_total_usd": 13383.176519999999,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "idaho senate race",
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        "republicans",
        "senate"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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      ]
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TRRJX6C1D5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "SENATEID-26-D",
      "question": "Will Democratics win the Senate race in Idaho?",
      "description": "David Roth",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "David Roth: The named candidate's party affiliation resolves according to Kalshi staff determination by January 4, 2027, based on official United States Congress records.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Idaho for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "United States Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "United States Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
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      "volume_total_usd": 1028.856,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "reasons": [
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          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-TRRJX6C1D5",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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