{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-S6Y29BSL46",
  "slug": "senateks-26",
  "question": "Will the Kansas Senate seat be won by the Republican candidate in the next election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-senate-2026",
    "kansas-politics",
    "election-outcome",
    "partisan-race",
    "incumbent-challenge"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the partisan outcome of the Kansas U.S. Senate race resolving in January 2027. Both contracts are listed on Kalshi and price the binary outcome from opposing directional perspectives. Together they imply a full probability distribution across the two major parties. Resolution follows Kalshi staff determination of the certified election result.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-SF53J3P7Z2",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.84,
    "implied_probability": 0.84
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SF53J3P7Z2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S6Y29BSL46",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "SENATEKS-26-R",
      "question": "Will Republicans win the Senate race in Kansas?",
      "description": "Republican party",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Republican party: The named candidate's party affiliation and election outcome will be determined by Kalshi staff review of official U.S. Congress records by January 4, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Kansas for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "United States Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "United States Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
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        "source_of_record": "United States Congress",
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        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0.84,
      "volume_24h_usd": 98.8848,
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
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          "bucket": null,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-R4R3ZBY9D3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S6Y29BSL46",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "SENATEKS-26-D",
      "question": "Will Democratics win the Senate race in Kansas?",
      "description": "Democratic party",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Democratic party: The named candidate's party affiliation and election outcome will be determined by Kalshi staff review of official U.S. Congress records by January 4, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Kansas for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "United States Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "bucket": null,
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-S6Y29BSL46",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}