{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-NF2DF1TXH9",
  "slug": "senatenh-26",
  "question": "New Hampshire Senate winner?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-senate-election",
    "new-hampshire-politics",
    "2026-midterm",
    "electoral-prediction",
    "party-control"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "Both markets track the 2027 New Hampshire U.S. Senate race outcome. Kalshi lists one binary contract per party, making the two markets structural complements. Each resolves via Kalshi staff determination against the certified winner's party affiliation. Implied probabilities across both contracts should sum to approximately 100% under efficient pricing.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-PFVNN9HQ95",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.83,
    "implied_probability": 0.83
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-58TGF10GG4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NF2DF1TXH9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "SENATENH-26-R",
      "question": "Will Republicans win the Senate race in New Hampshire?",
      "description": "Republican party",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Republican party: The named candidate's party affiliation in the New Hampshire Senate race resolves per Kalshi staff determination using official U.S. Congress records by January 4, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of New Hampshire for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "United States Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "United States Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "United States Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.15,
      "implied_probability": 0.15,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.8324999999999999,
      "volume_total_usd": 12321.828,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "hampshire senate race",
        "new hampshire",
        "republican",
        "senate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PFVNN9HQ95",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NF2DF1TXH9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "SENATENH-26-D",
      "question": "Will Democratics win the Senate race in New Hampshire?",
      "description": "Democratic party",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Democratic party: The named candidate's party affiliation in the New Hampshire Senate race resolves per Kalshi staff determination using official U.S. Congress records by January 4, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of New Hampshire for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "United States Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "United States Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "United States Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.83,
      "implied_probability": 0.83,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 46858.5215,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democratic",
        "hampshire senate race",
        "new hampshire",
        "senate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-NF2DF1TXH9",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}