{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZRD5ZTCQH3",
  "slug": "serbia-parliament-dissolved-by-20260629164744649",
  "question": "Will Serbia's parliament be dissolved in 2026? (multi-deadline series)",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "serbia",
    "parliamentary-dissolution",
    "governance",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Serbia's National Assembly will be formally dissolved before three sequential deadlines in 2026: July 31, August 31, and December 31. All three are binary outcome markets resolved via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. The July deadline is the most restrictive; the December market is the broadest and most likely to resolve affirmatively. Resolution depends on official Serbian parliamentary records with no authoritative third-party publisher designated.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-7GRJVV4Z62",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.27,
    "implied_probability": 0.27
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-07PMY8LCS7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZRD5ZTCQH3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x28748a2389bb32b327a0e554a65231caf525a1751d5c77118c029d8a537b99d9",
      "question": "Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by July 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the sitting Serbian National Assembly (Народна скупштина) is dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "July 31: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the sitting Serbian National Assembly (Народна скупштина) is dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "government of Serbia",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
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        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 32,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.06,
      "implied_probability": 0.06,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 2702.3426500000005,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "parliament",
        "politics",
        "serbia",
        "serbian national assembly"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7GRJVV4Z62",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZRD5ZTCQH3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8fb848da7f9de007bb533a064d8271e5f55560bb64bfc91cc5eadc9a5af625a5",
      "question": "Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the sitting Serbian National Assembly (Народна скупштина) is dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "August 31: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the sitting Serbian National Assembly (Народна скупштина) is dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
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            "name": "government of Serbia",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 32,
        "caps": [
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          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.27,
      "implied_probability": 0.27,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 9681.462243000005,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "parliament",
        "politics",
        "serbia",
        "serbian national assembly"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GSDVYM2K14",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZRD5ZTCQH3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x233de1da162309649fd451ca62d21b0f9f1df57ecd38aa98c5d35f70c8d1198a",
      "question": "Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the sitting Serbian National Assembly (Народна скупштина) is dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the sitting Serbian National Assembly (Народна скупштина) is dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "government of Serbia",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 32,
        "caps": [
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          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.805,
      "implied_probability": 0.805,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 5182.154105999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "parliament",
        "politics",
        "serbia",
        "serbian national assembly"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
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  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-ZRD5ZTCQH3",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}