{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-R6DPP799Q0",
  "slug": "south-africa-annual-inflation-2026",
  "question": "Will South Africa's annual inflation exceed 6% in 2026?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "south-africa",
    "inflation",
    "economy",
    "economic-indicators",
    "2026-data"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track South Africa's year-on-year CPI rate for December 2026. Polymarket structures the event as ten contiguous probability bands spanning below 2.6% to above 5.0%. Collectively, the bands price the full distribution of the policy rate outcome. Statistics South Africa's December 2026 CPI release, due January 20, 2027, resolves all ten markets via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-FYD3N0J4C8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.052,
    "implied_probability": 0.052
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-F6KLKXY390",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-R6DPP799Q0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8d0f8d00e9fe195b497d1a330b5a7f7579e1d448c24e9d03f5bafdf96093b279",
      "question": "Will South African inflation be less than 2.6% in 2026?",
      "description": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "<2.6%: Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report for December 2026, released January 20, 2027, determines the 12-month year-over-year percentage change.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-20T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-20T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.\n\nYou can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)\". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "statssa.gov.za",
            "url": "https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "statssa.gov.za",
            "url": "https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Statistics South Africa",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Statistics South Africa",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.022,
      "implied_probability": 0.022,
      "volume_24h_usd": 43.14,
      "volume_total_usd": 754.6897440000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 2.6,
      "question_id": "CMX-30127DBF7B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "economic-data",
        "inflation",
        "sa",
        "south africa annual"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-88TPKVH7W4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-R6DPP799Q0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb6ea30c8cf1658248f037056697c86fb4610398714900c7b158b014bc063a6f1",
      "question": "Will South African inflation be between 2.6% and 2.9% in 2026?",
      "description": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "2.6-2.9%: Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report for December 2026, released January 20, 2027, determines the 12-month year-over-year percentage change.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-20T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-20T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.\n\nYou can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)\". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "statssa.gov.za",
            "url": "https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "statssa.gov.za",
            "url": "https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Statistics South Africa",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Statistics South Africa",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.154,
      "implied_probability": 0.154,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 808.9407689999999,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-AE1FABB849",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "economic-data",
        "inflation",
        "sa",
        "south africa annual"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1NHVKP9Z65",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-R6DPP799Q0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x04b8e446bdb7d4a259045b38a3df6b4baf7204d13ce99a21623e5831370faca7",
      "question": "Will South African inflation be between 2.9% and 3.2% in 2026?",
      "description": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "2.9-3.2%: Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report for December 2026, released January 20, 2027, determines the 12-month year-over-year percentage change.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-20T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-20T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.\n\nYou can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)\". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "statssa.gov.za",
            "url": "https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "statssa.gov.za",
            "url": "https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Statistics South Africa",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Statistics South Africa",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.07,
      "implied_probability": 0.07,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 946.701783,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-6B56C60C97",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "economic-data",
        "inflation",
        "sa",
        "south africa annual"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-F8F5VZCVM1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-R6DPP799Q0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x443e60a2f3550031a8a6fb2785f8bb919e6ff505a4e3875198ee5b864756b369",
      "question": "Will South African inflation be between 3.2% and 3.5% in 2026?",
      "description": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "3.2-3.5%: Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report for December 2026, released January 20, 2027, determines the 12-month year-over-year percentage change.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-20T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-20T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.\n\nYou can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)\". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "statssa.gov.za",
            "url": "https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "statssa.gov.za",
            "url": "https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Statistics South Africa",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Statistics South Africa",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.057,
      "implied_probability": 0.057,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 627.3469200000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-015B2CDE73",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "economic-data",
        "inflation",
        "sa",
        "south africa annual"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MKYGRBD7X9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-R6DPP799Q0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7ddb61d4da8387f0e37e344340fe446c0d28eb3ab7ba0fbfa7576a848d3aab15",
      "question": "Will South African inflation be between 3.5% and 3.8% in 2026?",
      "description": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "3.5-3.8%: Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report for December 2026, released January 20, 2027, determines the 12-month year-over-year percentage change.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-20T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-20T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.\n\nYou can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)\". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "statssa.gov.za",
            "url": "https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "statssa.gov.za",
            "url": "https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Statistics South Africa",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Statistics South Africa",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.098,
      "implied_probability": 0.098,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 667.7496140000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-A36A13BC05",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "economic-data",
        "inflation",
        "sa",
        "south africa annual"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YNCK9VBHF0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-R6DPP799Q0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0c0322ff739a75f9943b1e7112de9cd2de59004430eb0f21923a15621f786f9d",
      "question": "Will South African inflation be between 3.8% and 4.1% in 2026?",
      "description": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "3.8-4.1%: Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report for December 2026, released January 20, 2027, determines the 12-month year-over-year percentage change.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-20T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-20T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.\n\nYou can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)\". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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          {
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            "url": "https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874",
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          {
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "south africa annual"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
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      "platform_market_id": "0x33d9d829a18b15d05c3454393a501d05ee90bb120d39e3ce7df43adbacd9dba2",
      "question": "Will South African inflation be between 4.1% and 4.4% in 2026?",
      "description": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "4.1-4.4%: Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report for December 2026, released January 20, 2027, determines the 12-month year-over-year percentage change.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-20T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-20T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.\n\nYou can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)\". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874",
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      "tags": [
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      "platform": "polymarket",
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      "question": "Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026?",
      "description": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "4.4-4.7%: Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report for December 2026, released January 20, 2027, determines the 12-month year-over-year percentage change.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-20T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-20T00:00:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.\n\nYou can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)\". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874",
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        "sources": [
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      "tags": [
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        "inflation",
        "sa",
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-R6DPP799Q0",
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      "question": "Will South African inflation be between 4.7% and 5.0% in 2026?",
      "description": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "4.7-5.0%: Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report for December 2026, released January 20, 2027, determines the 12-month year-over-year percentage change.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-20T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-20T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.\n\nYou can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)\". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859",
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            "name": "statssa.gov.za",
            "url": "https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874",
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            "name": "Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report",
            "url": null,
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "sa",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x9beb023f95d83c9046eae91130938636d449beb93d18a1c537026c8531e83302",
      "question": "Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": ">5.0%: Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report for December 2026, released January 20, 2027, determines the 12-month year-over-year percentage change.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-20T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-20T00:00:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.\n\nYou can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)\". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874",
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        "sources": [
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "url": null,
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      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5,
      "question_id": "CMX-82D43AC7B5",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "inflation",
        "sa",
        "south africa annual"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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  "resolution_log": [],
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    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-R6DPP799Q0",
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