{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-8LY01KMC58",
  "slug": "south-carolina-republican-senate-special-primary-winner-20260712135206676",
  "question": "Will a Republican win the South Carolina Senate Special Primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "us-senate",
    "south-carolina",
    "2026",
    "primary"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Republican nominee for the South Carolina U.S. Senate special primary, resolving August 11, 2026. Each Polymarket contract prices a single candidate's binary outcome; together they form an exhaustive field covering named candidates plus placeholder slots. All contracts resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against the South Carolina Republican Party's official nominee designation. Probabilities across contracts should sum to approximately one, making relative pricing a direct read on field-wide candidate probability.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-GLPDFF00P2",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x671c0d3f7257dcbb37cee566776323ffc2edae7022e671829c1ee05f4e72631b",
      "question": "Will Nancy Mace be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the special Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina, including any potential runoff.\n\nIf no 2026 special South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the candidate who is the official Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election.\n\nIf the results of the special primary are not definitively known, or if there is no Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Nancy Mace: The South Carolina Republican Party's official designation of the party nominee for the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate election, or the special primary results if held, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by August 11, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the special Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina, including any potential runoff.\n\nIf no 2026 special South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the candidate who is the official Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election.\n\nIf the results of the special primary are not definitively known, or if there is no Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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            "name": "the South Carolina Republican party",
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      "question": "Will Joe Wilson be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the special Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina, including any potential runoff.\n\nIf no 2026 special South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the candidate who is the official Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election.\n\nIf the results of the special primary are not definitively known, or if there is no Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
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      "question": "Will Mark Lynch be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the special Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina, including any potential runoff.\n\nIf no 2026 special South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the candidate who is the official Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election.\n\nIf the results of the special primary are not definitively known, or if there is no Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QL6MJ55NN1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8LY01KMC58",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xcb3439eeb12946342c641e500b54532abfdf29d411599dd4053448fb5ca5f5ff",
      "question": "Will Paul Dans be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the special Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina, including any potential runoff.\n\nIf no 2026 special South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the candidate who is the official Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election.\n\nIf the results of the special primary are not definitively known, or if there is no Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Paul Dans: The South Carolina Republican Party's official designation of the party nominee for the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate election, or the special primary results if held, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by August 11, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the special Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina, including any potential runoff.\n\nIf no 2026 special South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the candidate who is the official Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election.\n\nIf the results of the special primary are not definitively known, or if there is no Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VXDKLNR6P1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8LY01KMC58",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x70831611831c0792bfb971d613ec2db2e06d59a234967b45f8302b3671b515cd",
      "question": "Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the special Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina, including any potential runoff.\n\nIf no 2026 special South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the candidate who is the official Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election.\n\nIf the results of the special primary are not definitively known, or if there is no Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election",
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      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the special Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina, including any potential runoff.\n\nIf no 2026 special South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the candidate who is the official Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election.\n\nIf the results of the special primary are not definitively known, or if there is no Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-64Y885CZ12",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8LY01KMC58",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xca0adb2b83854f49b28a0afb7eb4a89bfc1881b6dc64e3bd9071f8b347b050f4",
      "question": "Will William Timmons be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the special Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina, including any potential runoff.\n\nIf no 2026 special South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the candidate who is the official Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election.\n\nIf the results of the special primary are not definitively known, or if there is no Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "William Timmons: The South Carolina Republican Party's official designation of the party nominee for the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate election, or the special primary results if held, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by August 11, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the special Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina, including any potential runoff.\n\nIf no 2026 special South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the candidate who is the official Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election.\n\nIf the results of the special primary are not definitively known, or if there is no Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "the South Carolina Republican party",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YVZDDSJ0N9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8LY01KMC58",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xfdd8daeffb5fd1f0c2bedab6ff47b82a38dc191d93ae716bbe969a58837a0a85",
      "question": "Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the special Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina, including any potential runoff.\n\nIf no 2026 special South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the candidate who is the official Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election.\n\nIf the results of the special primary are not definitively known, or if there is no Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Russell Fry: The South Carolina Republican Party's official designation of the party nominee for the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate election, or the special primary results if held, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by August 11, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the special Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina, including any potential runoff.\n\nIf no 2026 special South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the candidate who is the official Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election.\n\nIf the results of the special primary are not definitively known, or if there is no Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "caps": [
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      "question": "Will Scott Bessent be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?",
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      "question": "Will Trey Gowdy be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?",
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      "question": "Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?",
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      "question": "Will Person G be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?",
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