{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-NHQC1VHZM9",
  "slug": "south-carolina-senate-special-republican-primary-first-round-winner-20260721172033648",
  "question": "Will there be a first round winner in the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "south-carolina",
    "republican-primary",
    "2026",
    "special-election"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the first-round plurality winner of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary on August 11, 2026. All 21 markets are single-platform, each pricing a binary outcome for one named or placeholder candidate via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. The markets are mutually exclusive: exactly one resolves yes. South Carolina election results, certified by state election authorities, serve as the authoritative resolution source.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-LJ7SNH9J16",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.94,
    "implied_probability": 0.94
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MP0K1MWSR1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NHQC1VHZM9",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xe5019e5047f0377aa0d45db8482228279c782ad1a0639c9bbbb0710d06aeaa67",
      "question": "Will Duke Buckner win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?",
      "description": "The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Duke Buckner: The named candidate with the most valid votes in the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary on August 11, 2026, per South Carolina State Election Commission records, wins; ties resolve alphabetically by first name.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://scvotes.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "scvotes.gov",
            "url": "https://scvotes.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "State of South Carolina",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "South Carolina Election Commission",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "South Carolina Election Commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 440.48100000000005,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZD9S07LQY1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NHQC1VHZM9",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x13f933c26ce0692c31db3091f848686d38f120d2b7c13b1ea6608386ceddfcac",
      "question": "Will Russell Fry win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?",
      "description": "The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in",
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      "underlying_reference": "Russell Fry: The named candidate with the most valid votes in the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary on August 11, 2026, per South Carolina State Election Commission records, wins; ties resolve alphabetically by first name.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source_citation": "https://scvotes.gov/",
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            "url": null,
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            "name": "South Carolina Election Commission",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "South Carolina Election Commission",
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        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
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      "last_price": 0.018,
      "implied_probability": 0.018,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NHQC1VHZM9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1a716766423ff8a4e3f45b3cd69fad6c05d33452e29eb15d3a990661463ade08",
      "question": "Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?",
      "description": "The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in",
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      "underlying_reference": "Darline Graham Nordone: The named candidate with the most valid votes in the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary on August 11, 2026, per South Carolina State Election Commission records, wins; ties resolve alphabetically by first name.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source_citation": "https://scvotes.gov/",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "State of South Carolina",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "South Carolina Election Commission",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "South Carolina Election Commission",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.94,
      "implied_probability": 0.94,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3218.767056,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
        "south carolina senate"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H90T37WGX8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NHQC1VHZM9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa6a4ae791ded32617b1e0ded63bef34215d2476d2d42dc5872dd1ccc14cae206",
      "question": "Will Mark Lynch win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?",
      "description": "The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Mark Lynch: The named candidate with the most valid votes in the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary on August 11, 2026, per South Carolina State Election Commission records, wins; ties resolve alphabetically by first name.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "source_citation": "https://scvotes.gov/",
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            "name": "scvotes.gov",
            "url": "https://scvotes.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "State of South Carolina",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "South Carolina Election Commission",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "South Carolina Election Commission",
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        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7431L34HD7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NHQC1VHZM9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3218454b5b166b36e000e1b45e87e60679457847991bd268423bacbe07a57508",
      "question": "Will Ralph Norman win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?",
      "description": "The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in",
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      "underlying_reference": "Ralph Norman: The named candidate with the most valid votes in the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary on August 11, 2026, per South Carolina State Election Commission records, wins; ties resolve alphabetically by first name.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://scvotes.gov/",
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          {
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            "url": "https://scvotes.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "State of South Carolina",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "South Carolina Election Commission",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "tags": [
        "south carolina senate"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KWGQ561XH5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NHQC1VHZM9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa2586ba4a78b8e7997870a3385b7a42c7f54f8824b810be586e857b67d6c358a",
      "question": "Will Mark Sanford win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?",
      "description": "The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Mark Sanford: The named candidate with the most valid votes in the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary on August 11, 2026, per South Carolina State Election Commission records, wins; ties resolve alphabetically by first name.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "source_citation": "https://scvotes.gov/",
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          {
            "name": "scvotes.gov",
            "url": "https://scvotes.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "State of South Carolina",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "South Carolina Election Commission",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
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        "source_of_record": "South Carolina Election Commission",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
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      "volume_24h_usd": null,
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      "tags": [
        "south carolina senate"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CMM1F9C1Z4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NHQC1VHZM9",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xac96017029b4f8aeedd47580f6b36694249d8adb96cc880efda845a99a115675",
      "question": "Will Sheri Biggs win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?",
      "description": "The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Sheri Biggs: The named candidate with the most valid votes in the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary on August 11, 2026, per South Carolina State Election Commission records, wins; ties resolve alphabetically by first name.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "rules_raw": "The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-11T23:59:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n",
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