{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-488YZLBGB1",
  "slug": "spacex-goes-public-through-bill-ackman-spar-company",
  "question": "Will SpaceX go public through Bill Ackman's SPAC by 2026?",
  "category": "technology",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "spacex",
    "ipo",
    "spac",
    "bill-ackman",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks whether SpaceX completes a public listing via Pershing Square SPARC Holdings, Bill Ackman's special purpose acquisition vehicle. A single Polymarket binary prices the outcome directly. Resolution depends on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle confirming an announced merger or business combination. The market closes December 31, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-7BBCJX9D25",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7BBCJX9D25",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-488YZLBGB1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7a267548141aa82ed934562b2ba4f7b35dac3e21e55f19831a9b35a9a6d79b7e",
      "question": "SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman \"SPAR\" company?",
      "description": "Investor Bill Ackman proposed on X that Elon Musk take SpaceX public through a merger with Pershing Square SPARC Holdings Ltd., a company founded and run by Ackman to innovatively transact public offerings through the use of Special Purpose Acquisition Rights or “SPARs” (see: https://x.com/BillAckman/status/2002484983123136990).\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met:\n\n- An agreed merger or business combination deal between SpaceX and Pershing Square SPARC Holdings Ltd. is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n- An offering of “SPARs”",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "UMA Optimistic Oracle resolves whether SpaceX and Pershing Square SPARC Holdings announce an agreed merger or business combination by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Investor Bill Ackman proposed on X that Elon Musk take SpaceX public through a merger with Pershing Square SPARC Holdings Ltd., a company founded and run by Ackman to innovatively transact public offerings through the use of Special Purpose Acquisition Rights or “SPARs” (see: https://x.com/BillAckman/status/2002484983123136990).\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met:\n\n- An agreed merger or business combination deal between SpaceX and Pershing Square SPARC Holdings Ltd. is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n- An offering of “SPARs” to Tesla Shareholders or other individuals which represent a subscription warrant to purchase shares in a business combination of Pershing Square SPARC Holdings Ltd. and SpaceX is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn official announcement of an agreed merger/combination of these two companies or a SPAR offering of subscription warrants to purchase shares in a combination of these companies will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the merger or SPAR offering actually occurs.\n\nIf SpaceX goes public through another means, (i.e. SpaceX IPOs through a typical listing of their shares on a public stock exchange), this market will resolve immediately to “No”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official company communications and/or regulatory filings from SpaceX and Pershing Square SPARC Holdings Ltd.; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/BillAckman/status/2002484983123136990",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/BillAckman/status/2002484983123136990",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official company communications and/or regulatory filings from SpaceX and Pershing Square SPARC Holdings Ltd.",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 58,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 11593.024834,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-ADF54E3EC6",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "kalshi",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-BBJ79VZMT2",
          "price": 0.99
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "bill ackman",
        "ipo",
        "spac",
        "spacex",
        "spacex ipo via",
        "spar"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7BBCJX9D25",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-12T18:01:49Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-488YZLBGB1",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}