{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-WT6P6Z4739",
  "slug": "spacex-ipo-by",
  "question": "Will SpaceX have an initial public offering by 2026?",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "finance",
    "spacex",
    "ipo",
    "corporate-milestone",
    "2026"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether SpaceX completes an IPO on any recognized stock exchange by eight sequential deadlines across 2026. All eight are structured as binary outcome questions with staggered cutoffs, from March 31 through December 31, 2026. Each resolves via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, with confirmation required by June 1, 2026 per resolution criteria. Traders can read implied IPO timing probability by comparing prices across the deadline ladder.",
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-3LRZB56B05",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.001
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WT6P6Z4739",
      "platform": "polymarket",
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      "question": "Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "March 31: The listed company completes an Initial Public Offering on any recognized stock exchange by June 1, 2026, confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-04-01T08:26:07Z",
      "status": "closed",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nIf SpaceX is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.",
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      "question": "Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nIf SpaceX is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.",
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      "question": "Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-09-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nIf SpaceX is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "question_id": "CMX-9D92AD0B11",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5BHKDJB6G5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WT6P6Z4739",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x01759192de454d25043610a0dff13621b60f71d867114ed86778d0e485e46b0f",
      "question": "Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nIf SpaceX is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "December 31: The listed company completes an Initial Public Offering on any recognized stock exchange by June 1, 2026, confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nIf SpaceX is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-317V8SBGL1",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x65f6340d2fbec288127fb90a9979a6a73e99df2fb5ec7a88e14349033cede878",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xe05f83ed91d2dcf7e744f86bbda236525eb9441bbf039c858f5438d9dc3e7431",
      "question": "Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?",
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      "close_at": "2026-05-31T00:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nIf SpaceX is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.",
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      "question": "Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?",
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      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 90285.844,
      "volume_total_usd": 317379.1494739994,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "also_on": null,
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        "spacex"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
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}