{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-46RJQ2FLQ6",
  "slug": "spacex-ipo-first-day-share-price-hits-20260608191407523",
  "question": "SpaceX first day share price, June 13, 2026",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      150,
      175
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 150,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 175,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 200,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 250,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 300,
        "prob": 0
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "spacex-ipo",
    "first-day-trading",
    "share-price",
    "tech-ipo",
    "finance"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether SpaceX's intraday high on its first trading day clears specific price thresholds. All five markets are structured as binary strike questions at $150, $175, $200, $250, and $300. Higher strikes are nested within lower ones, so the $300 contract implies the $250 contract also resolves true. Resolution relies on the primary exchange's official listing data, verified through Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, with a settlement deadline of June 13, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-2V0MVQJDV9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-R3YLFBL4S2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-46RJQ2FLQ6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1efb69eb45da510fd241ab2ae8936a5781fe4c42aa0b0542b406980fdd70121d",
      "question": "Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 250 (High)?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if SpaceX's official “High” price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the listed price. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\nIf no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. \n\nThe “High” share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in t",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↑$250: The primary exchange's official listing page for the named company's first trading day will provide the high share price, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by June 13, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-13T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-13T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if SpaceX's official “High” price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the listed price. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\nIf no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. \n\nThe “High” share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), this market will resolve according to the official “High” price of the abbreviated session. If no such official “High” price is published for the first day of trading, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official “High” price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "another reliable source",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 8607.537435,
      "volume_total_usd": 15190.587539999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 250,
      "question_id": "CMX-E9925471FA",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ipo",
        "spacex",
        "spacex ipo first",
        "stock price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-79V17KZ6N3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-46RJQ2FLQ6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xcbda1d15b7ad86bc853e86673c24642b5c44c9e77629f758a7ab8e5fae80ac40",
      "question": "Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if SpaceX's official “High” price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the listed price. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\nIf no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. \n\nThe “High” share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in t",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↑$200: The primary exchange's official listing page for the named company's first trading day will provide the high share price, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by June 13, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-13T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-13T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if SpaceX's official “High” price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the listed price. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\nIf no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. \n\nThe “High” share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), this market will resolve according to the official “High” price of the abbreviated session. If no such official “High” price is published for the first day of trading, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official “High” price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "another reliable source",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 15618.107386999998,
      "volume_total_usd": 20574.025963,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 200,
      "question_id": "CMX-F74E9ABDF8",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ipo",
        "spacex",
        "spacex ipo first",
        "stock price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FKHYK60F66",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-46RJQ2FLQ6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x21de34489e1ec54c38c8e24706099f7806897cea3f08e894c9fd762272157ba3",
      "question": "Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 300 (High)?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if SpaceX's official “High” price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the listed price. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\nIf no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. \n\nThe “High” share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in t",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↑$300: The primary exchange's official listing page for the named company's first trading day will provide the high share price, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by June 13, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-13T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-13T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if SpaceX's official “High” price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the listed price. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\nIf no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. \n\nThe “High” share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), this market will resolve according to the official “High” price of the abbreviated session. If no such official “High” price is published for the first day of trading, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official “High” price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "another reliable source",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 33451.22345,
      "volume_total_usd": 74346.25538499995,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 300,
      "question_id": "CMX-75737B4B62",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ipo",
        "spacex",
        "spacex ipo first",
        "stock price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5X3B9F6Z93",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-46RJQ2FLQ6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4bda69faaa8efd3ac3e0a8d97c35adf7ef1f27f8dbfa412f17aa8055c2969c52",
      "question": "Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 150 (High)?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if SpaceX's official “High” price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the listed price. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\nIf no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. \n\nThe “High” share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in t",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↑$150: The primary exchange's official listing page for the named company's first trading day will provide the high share price, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by June 13, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-13T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-13T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if SpaceX's official “High” price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the listed price. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\nIf no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. \n\nThe “High” share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), this market will resolve according to the official “High” price of the abbreviated session. If no such official “High” price is published for the first day of trading, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official “High” price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "another reliable source",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 26848.021563,
      "volume_total_usd": 29528.906847000006,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 150,
      "question_id": "CMX-3F985A1638",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ipo",
        "spacex",
        "spacex ipo first",
        "stock price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2V0MVQJDV9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-46RJQ2FLQ6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "2518557",
      "question": "Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 175 (High)?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if SpaceX's official “High” price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the listed price. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\nIf no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. \n\nThe “High” share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in t",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↑$175: The primary exchange's official listing page for the named company's first trading day will provide the high share price, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by June 13, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-13T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-13T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if SpaceX's official “High” price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the listed price. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\nIf no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. \n\nThe “High” share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), this market will resolve according to the official “High” price of the abbreviated session. If no such official “High” price is published for the first day of trading, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official “High” price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "another reliable source",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 175,
      "question_id": "CMX-0FE925C8C7",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ipo",
        "spacex",
        "spacex ipo first",
        "stock price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2V0MVQJDV9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-06-13T03:59:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-R3YLFBL4S2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-12T22:26:34Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-79V17KZ6N3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-12T22:26:34Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FKHYK60F66",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-12T22:26:34Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5X3B9F6Z93",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-12T22:26:34Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-46RJQ2FLQ6",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}