{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-T2G12G1TC5",
  "slug": "spacex-ipo-will-elon-musk-ring-the-bell-20260608201006493",
  "question": "Will Elon Musk ring the bell at SpaceX's IPO?",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "spacex-ipo",
    "tech",
    "finance",
    "elon-musk",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Elon Musk physically rings the opening bell at SpaceX's IPO listing ceremony. A single Polymarket binary resolves the outcome; no parallel rate-level or margin structure exists across platforms. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle to confirm the physical act occurred. No exchange or regulatory filing serves as an authoritative source; visual or contemporaneous press documentation would govern determination.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-SNVFFYP0N6",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SNVFFYP0N6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T2G12G1TC5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb2a5145e4597061e02ef614a3ed4c89e12d36b79cf066fc362da9937c709d201",
      "question": "SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elon Musk rings the bell at a bell ceremony on SpaceX’s first day of trading. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nIf no SpaceX IPO or qualifying bell ceremony occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nBell-ringing ceremonies which take place outside of SpaceX's first day of trading will not be considered.\n\nQualifying Requirements:\n- Elon Musk must be physically present at the ceremony.\n- The ceremony must be at the venue of SpaceX's primary exchange.\n- The purpose of the ceremony must be to commemorate the opening",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether Elon Musk physically rings the opening bell at SpaceX's IPO ceremony on its first trading day.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-13T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-13T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elon Musk rings the bell at a bell ceremony on SpaceX’s first day of trading. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nIf no SpaceX IPO or qualifying bell ceremony occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nBell-ringing ceremonies which take place outside of SpaceX's first day of trading will not be considered.\n\nQualifying Requirements:\n- Elon Musk must be physically present at the ceremony.\n- The ceremony must be at the venue of SpaceX's primary exchange.\n- The purpose of the ceremony must be to commemorate the opening or closing of the regular trading session of SpaceX’s primary exchange on SpaceX's first day of trading.\n- Elon Musk must singularly or jointly participate in ringing or activating the physical or digital bell of the primary exchange through touch or force.\n\nNon-qualifying examples:\n- Elon Musk rings a bell at a private SpaceX ceremony.\n- Elon Musk tells someone else to ring the bell on his behalf.\n- Elon Musk issues a voice command to any device that it should play a ringing sound.\n- Elon Musk presses play on a ringing sound effect from his phone.\n- Elon Musk appears virtually at the bell ringing ceremony.\n- Elon Musk rings the bell from a location other than the primary exchange's physical venue.\n\nThe resolution source will be photos or videos.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "photos or videos",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 55,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 94628.577514,
      "volume_total_usd": 105350.45439600006,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-88A02AA6DB",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk",
        "ipo",
        "spacex",
        "spacex ipo elon"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SNVFFYP0N6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-12T23:33:12Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-T2G12G1TC5",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}