{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-M7YDSVMYD7",
  "slug": "spacex-starship-fully-reusable-before-2027",
  "question": "Will SpaceX Starship be fully reusable before 2027?",
  "category": "companies",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "companies",
    "spacex",
    "starship",
    "reusable-rockets",
    "tech",
    "space-exploration"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether SpaceX achieves full Starship reusability by December 31, 2026. Resolution requires a public announcement from SpaceX or Elon Musk confirming the upper stage is fully reusable. Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle settles the contract on that declaration. No corroborating technical body is named; resolution depends entirely on company-sourced statements.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-5H6P4V7YS7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.46,
    "implied_probability": 0.46,
    "as_of": "2026-09-07T06:00:39.582Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5H6P4V7YS7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M7YDSVMYD7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0a1b551058f78174cf64ed9d61edb103a76c4df88232ee1188dbc9e390896e7d",
      "question": "SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?",
      "description": "On February 28, Elon Musk posted that it was likely Starship would become fully reusable in 2025. You can see the X post here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1895598258225106984\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if SpaceX or Elon Musk announces that Starship is fully reusable by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNote, this market refers to the Starship upper stage and does not require reusability for the Super-Heavy booster.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes\" it is not necessary that an actual reuse occur, only that SpaceX or Elon Musk announces th",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "SpaceX or Elon Musk's public announcement that Starship upper stage is fully reusable by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "On February 28, Elon Musk posted that it was likely Starship would become fully reusable in 2025. You can see the X post here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1895598258225106984\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if SpaceX or Elon Musk announces that Starship is fully reusable by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNote, this market refers to the Starship upper stage and does not require reusability for the Super-Heavy booster.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes\" it is not necessary that an actual reuse occur, only that SpaceX or Elon Musk announces that Starship is fully reusable by this market's resolution date.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is announcements by Elon Musk and SpaceX, or their official representatives.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1895598258225106984",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1895598258225106984",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "announcements by Elon Musk and SpaceX, or their official representatives",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 26,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "discretionary_trigger_no_source",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.46,
      "implied_probability": 0.46,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-07T06:00:39.582Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 43.478259,
      "volume_total_usd": 121850.37786300002,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-C1D1FDEB78",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "reusability",
        "spaceflight",
        "spacex",
        "spacex starship fully",
        "starship"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-M7YDSVMYD7",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}