{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-JMDRRNXTD8",
  "slug": "spcx-above-in-july-2026",
  "question": "Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above ___ by the end of July?",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "finance",
    "stock-price",
    "spcx",
    "end-of-month",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether SPCX closes above discrete price strikes on July 31, 2026. Polymarket structures all thirteen contracts as binary strike thresholds, collectively implying a probability distribution over the closing price level. Reading across strikes yields an embedded cumulative density function for SPCX on the final trading day of July 2026. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle referencing the official closing price from SPCX's primary exchange.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-92KTDTHZ16",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.771,
    "implied_probability": 0.771
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CHM7QMM620",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JMDRRNXTD8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc43b222b614e03b5b51120e4a4c05443259ff5f106f8c2d69722c06cf67ccf48",
      "question": "Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $90 end of July?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the official closing price for Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) on the final trading day of July 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.\n\nIf no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$90: The listed company's official closing price on the final trading day of July 2026, as published by the primary exchange and reported through standard financial data sources, determines resolution above or below the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the official closing price for Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) on the final trading day of July 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.\n\nIf no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) \"Close\" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history, published under \"Historical Prices.\"\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "finance.yahoo.com",
            "url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Yahoo Finance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Yahoo Finance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.832,
      "implied_probability": 0.832,
      "volume_24h_usd": 102.79,
      "volume_total_usd": 3309.735088000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 90,
      "question_id": "CMX-27BF738493",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "price",
        "spacex",
        "spacex spcx stock",
        "spcx",
        "stock"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WPFMV13SH9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JMDRRNXTD8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc620aeb523a5e843c9ac2c21775601795d4e39f9bb6c60aa4c761cff045fa162",
      "question": "Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $100 end of July?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the official closing price for Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) on the final trading day of July 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.\n\nIf no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$100: The listed company's official closing price on the final trading day of July 2026, as published by the primary exchange and reported through standard financial data sources, determines resolution above or below the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the official closing price for Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) on the final trading day of July 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.\n\nIf no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) \"Close\" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history, published under \"Historical Prices.\"\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "finance.yahoo.com",
            "url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Yahoo Finance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Yahoo Finance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.955,
      "implied_probability": 0.955,
      "volume_24h_usd": 104.14536899999999,
      "volume_total_usd": 4700.760162,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 100,
      "question_id": "CMX-91497354AE",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "price",
        "spacex",
        "spacex spcx stock",
        "spcx",
        "stock"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-92KTDTHZ16",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JMDRRNXTD8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8a524de74c20adc51b5d73ff631fb74cea5e8980a673573e003913315c9c7b12",
      "question": "Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of July?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the official closing price for Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) on the final trading day of July 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.\n\nIf no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$110: The listed company's official closing price on the final trading day of July 2026, as published by the primary exchange and reported through standard financial data sources, determines resolution above or below the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the official closing price for Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) on the final trading day of July 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.\n\nIf no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) \"Close\" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history, published under \"Historical Prices.\"\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "finance.yahoo.com",
            "url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Yahoo Finance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Yahoo Finance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.771,
      "implied_probability": 0.771,
      "volume_24h_usd": 923.8225590000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 21469.88937700001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 110,
      "question_id": "CMX-8EF4A65A90",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "price",
        "spacex",
        "spacex spcx stock",
        "spcx",
        "stock"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MKWS6MB1V9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JMDRRNXTD8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb036114e253c1724dae38b363a08d882c0278beac9e32ef702a38464688221ee",
      "question": "Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $120 end of July?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the official closing price for Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) on the final trading day of July 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.\n\nIf no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$120: The listed company's official closing price on the final trading day of July 2026, as published by the primary exchange and reported through standard financial data sources, determines resolution above or below the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the official closing price for Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) on the final trading day of July 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.\n\nIf no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) \"Close\" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history, published under \"Historical Prices.\"\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "finance.yahoo.com",
            "url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Yahoo Finance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Yahoo Finance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.37,
      "implied_probability": 0.37,
      "volume_24h_usd": 901.900738,
      "volume_total_usd": 8880.040036,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 120,
      "question_id": "CMX-8F54203083",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "price",
        "spacex",
        "spacex spcx stock",
        "spcx",
        "stock"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7PQH1D9QC0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JMDRRNXTD8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xfd41ab1cf264cee2cf964efb587d77f454e181ef8d1ba0b9253d5c4fe1278936",
      "question": "Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $130 end of July?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the official closing price for Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) on the final trading day of July 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.\n\nIf no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$130: The listed company's official closing price on the final trading day of July 2026, as published by the primary exchange and reported through standard financial data sources, determines resolution above or below the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the official closing price for Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) on the final trading day of July 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.\n\nIf no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) \"Close\" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history, published under \"Historical Prices.\"\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "finance.yahoo.com",
            "url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Yahoo Finance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Yahoo Finance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.15,
      "implied_probability": 0.15,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1275.145774,
      "volume_total_usd": 6540.70658,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 130,
      "question_id": "CMX-0A1DFD8A82",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "price",
        "spacex",
        "spacex spcx stock",
        "spcx",
        "stock"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QKT4KZM8V8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JMDRRNXTD8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x005446de6867ff220e541f120a5bbad7129297815c5c0f9ffd14c31b654b3ba8",
      "question": "Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $140 end of July?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the official closing price for Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) on the final trading day of July 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.\n\nIf no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$140: The listed company's official closing price on the final trading day of July 2026, as published by the primary exchange and reported through standard financial data sources, determines resolution above or below the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the official closing price for Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) on the final trading day of July 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.\n\nIf no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) \"Close\" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history, published under \"Historical Prices.\"\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "finance.yahoo.com",
            "url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Yahoo Finance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Yahoo Finance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.08,
      "implied_probability": 0.08,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.46,
      "volume_total_usd": 20260.827685,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 140,
      "question_id": "CMX-06A2E7B591",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "price",
        "spacex",
        "spacex spcx stock",
        "spcx",
        "stock"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5LZPT49HW4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JMDRRNXTD8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf7e8b78c488d8f5f721bf2213eba72732824b39960b5b1a653c77162230fc1d0",
      "question": "Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $150 end of July?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the official closing price for Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) on the final trading day of July 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.\n\nIf no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$150: The listed company's official closing price on the final trading day of July 2026, as published by the primary exchange and reported through standard financial data sources, determines resolution above or below the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the official closing price for Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) on the final trading day of July 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.\n\nIf no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) \"Close\" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history, published under \"Historical Prices.\"\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "finance.yahoo.com",
            "url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Yahoo Finance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Yahoo Finance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.12,
      "implied_probability": 0.12,
      "volume_24h_usd": 96.001226,
      "volume_total_usd": 5689.959454,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 150,
      "question_id": "CMX-C661C6029A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "price",
        "spacex",
        "spacex spcx stock",
        "spcx",
        "stock"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VRX4TX6XJ4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JMDRRNXTD8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1a8901fcc3746f7685596e803d5df9fd9c875dbc940b30a50190fe5db41a4204",
      "question": "Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $160 end of July?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the official closing price for Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) on the final trading day of July 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.\n\nIf no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$160: The listed company's official closing price on the final trading day of July 2026, as published by the primary exchange and reported through standard financial data sources, determines resolution above or below the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the official closing price for Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) on the final trading day of July 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.\n\nIf no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) \"Close\" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history, published under \"Historical Prices.\"\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
            "url": null,
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          },
          {
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            "url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Yahoo Finance",
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        "source_quality": null,
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      "rcg": {
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.103,
      "implied_probability": 0.103,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 1147.286987,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 160,
      "question_id": "CMX-B4DA6BDF52",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "price",
        "spacex",
        "spacex spcx stock",
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XXY7RGX1X6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JMDRRNXTD8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc724eff53430e543deb144468ab5240a6e4c8f5ce836b5cd7d0e71082374ab6f",
      "question": "Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $170 end of July?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the official closing price for Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) on the final trading day of July 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.\n\nIf no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$170: The listed company's official closing price on the final trading day of July 2026, as published by the primary exchange and reported through standard financial data sources, determines resolution above or below the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the official closing price for Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) on the final trading day of July 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.\n\nIf no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) \"Close\" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history, published under \"Historical Prices.\"\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "finance.yahoo.com",
            "url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Yahoo Finance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.067,
      "implied_probability": 0.067,
      "volume_24h_usd": 29.6111,
      "volume_total_usd": 2582.030513,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 170,
      "question_id": "CMX-BCA8D3FD9F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "price",
        "spacex",
        "spacex spcx stock",
        "spcx",
        "stock"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HWZ1FZ1J70",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JMDRRNXTD8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1a2669c26ba06d457ef251c83a6334832927b9d0f5a9c48e595cf9eb95c969bb",
      "question": "Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $180 end of July?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the official closing price for Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) on the final trading day of July 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.\n\nIf no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$180: The listed company's official closing price on the final trading day of July 2026, as published by the primary exchange and reported through standard financial data sources, determines resolution above or below the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the official closing price for Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) on the final trading day of July 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.\n\nIf no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) \"Close\" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history, published under \"Historical Prices.\"\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "finance.yahoo.com",
            "url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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            "name": "Yahoo Finance",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Yahoo Finance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.07,
      "implied_probability": 0.07,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 1233.8776400000002,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 180,
      "question_id": "CMX-19ADAAA152",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "price",
        "spacex",
        "spacex spcx stock",
        "spcx",
        "stock"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4LXQM4MPL3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JMDRRNXTD8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb8168dab78ffc6a41f0d4b76062486e40702b74d1e044f4ab52787762a2deaed",
      "question": "Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $190 end of July?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the official closing price for Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) on the final trading day of July 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.\n\nIf no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$190: The listed company's official closing price on the final trading day of July 2026, as published by the primary exchange and reported through standard financial data sources, determines resolution above or below the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the official closing price for Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) on the final trading day of July 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.\n\nIf no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) \"Close\" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history, published under \"Historical Prices.\"\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "finance.yahoo.com",
            "url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Yahoo Finance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Yahoo Finance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [
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        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 2814.503065,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 190,
      "question_id": "CMX-0A232C2E06",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "price",
        "spacex",
        "spacex spcx stock",
        "spcx",
        "stock"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C38LTNF963",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JMDRRNXTD8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9a40e0d035ad2f17bc0f9fc1bbd260a7963bc1a826dc8517c0560fc5ee396c26",
      "question": "Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $200 end of July?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the official closing price for Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) on the final trading day of July 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.\n\nIf no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$200: The listed company's official closing price on the final trading day of July 2026, as published by the primary exchange and reported through standard financial data sources, determines resolution above or below the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the official closing price for Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) on the final trading day of July 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.\n\nIf no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) \"Close\" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history, published under \"Historical Prices.\"\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "finance.yahoo.com",
            "url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Yahoo Finance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Yahoo Finance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [
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        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": null,
      "implied_probability": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 5,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 200,
      "question_id": "CMX-687D4CEFFD",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "price",
        "spacex",
        "spacex spcx stock",
        "spcx",
        "stock"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NPG63B3WZ4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JMDRRNXTD8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa0629bb915ce570c8b0c988d40890edc1ad2ad0ff544529326e012d6c0fe774b",
      "question": "Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $210 end of July?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the official closing price for Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) on the final trading day of July 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.\n\nIf no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$210: The listed company's official closing price on the final trading day of July 2026, as published by the primary exchange and reported through standard financial data sources, determines resolution above or below the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the official closing price for Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) on the final trading day of July 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.\n\nIf no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) \"Close\" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history, published under \"Historical Prices.\"\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "finance.yahoo.com",
            "url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Yahoo Finance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Yahoo Finance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 205,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 210,
      "question_id": "CMX-62B60C9B2B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "price",
        "spacex",
        "spacex spcx stock",
        "spcx",
        "stock"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-JMDRRNXTD8",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}