{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-B3PGCW67Y8",
  "slug": "spx-hit-dec-2026",
  "question": "Will the S&P 500 (SPX) reach a specific level by the end of December?",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "sp-500",
    "spx",
    "finance",
    "price-target",
    "equity-index"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether the S&P 500 touches discrete price levels during December 2026 regular trading hours. Six upside strikes range from $7,400 to $9,300; six downside strikes range from $4,500 to $6,600. Each is a binary barrier contract, not a range or closing-price instrument. Resolution uses Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against 1-minute low prices sourced from S&P Dow Jones Indices data distributed via Yahoo Finance.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-BN1J1LLB04",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.028,
    "implied_probability": 0.028,
    "as_of": "2026-09-06T14:00:44.667Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1124JZ3CF1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-B3PGCW67Y8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x68a1e8127a8ade826ac92a01c2e815bd2fcf887396fdb8ed8835ec39e77909ec",
      "question": "Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final \"High\" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nAll prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval (\"1m\") data, will be considered.\n\nPeriods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.\n\nAll times referenced are loc",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↑ $9,300: S&P 500 index 1-minute low prices via Yahoo Finance during regular trading hours through December 31, 2026, determine if the listed price level is touched or breached.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T21:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final \"High\" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nAll prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval (\"1m\") data, will be considered.\n\nPeriods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.\n\nAll times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval (\"1m\") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "finance.yahoo.com",
            "url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Yahoo Finance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Yahoo Finance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 81,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.055,
      "implied_probability": 0.055,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-05T21:01:15.307Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 9538.24126,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 9300,
      "question_id": "CMX-103DFD9532",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "500",
        "equities",
        "index",
        "spx"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WFJB7PHW95",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-B3PGCW67Y8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2db4eeedaaaf26e7c5eea272a1a3cdef49597fafa7e276e90633bcd21a2e1014",
      "question": "Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final \"High\" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nAll prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval (\"1m\") data, will be considered.\n\nPeriods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.\n\nAll times referenced are loc",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↑ $8,600: S&P 500 index 1-minute low prices via Yahoo Finance during regular trading hours through December 31, 2026, determine if the listed price level is touched or breached.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T21:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final \"High\" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nAll prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval (\"1m\") data, will be considered.\n\nPeriods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.\n\nAll times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval (\"1m\") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "finance.yahoo.com",
            "url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Yahoo Finance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Yahoo Finance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 81,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.1,
      "implied_probability": 0.1,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-04T22:00:17.374Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 30614.303645000004,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 8600,
      "question_id": "CMX-6303FA7DD9",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "kalshi",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-7XJMZS3L49",
          "price": 0.086
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "500",
        "equities",
        "index",
        "spx"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TXR1MJ6ZK5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-B3PGCW67Y8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc3c873cd1cc3b91576e3cfe70d661768407bdac76fdf99e27b82c26ce06dd5a2",
      "question": "Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final \"High\" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nAll prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval (\"1m\") data, will be considered.\n\nPeriods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.\n\nAll times referenced are loc",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↑ $8,200: S&P 500 index 1-minute low prices via Yahoo Finance during regular trading hours through December 31, 2026, determine if the listed price level is touched or breached.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T21:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final \"High\" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nAll prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval (\"1m\") data, will be considered.\n\nPeriods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.\n\nAll times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval (\"1m\") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "finance.yahoo.com",
            "url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Yahoo Finance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Yahoo Finance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 81,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.37,
      "implied_probability": 0.37,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-07T09:00:42.355Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 43.87,
      "volume_total_usd": 23826.574657999994,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 8200,
      "question_id": "CMX-E10BA6DC0B",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "kalshi",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-JWD7DQK0F6",
          "price": 0.258
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "500",
        "equities",
        "index",
        "spx"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8LKQDSMT49",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-B3PGCW67Y8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1fc6d54b3e360af2f751400c9c88cbe19dcd096cfa3b8888b879531ce7d443c3",
      "question": "Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final \"High\" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nAll prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval (\"1m\") data, will be considered.\n\nPeriods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.\n\nAll times referenced are loc",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↑ $7,800: S&P 500 index 1-minute low prices via Yahoo Finance during regular trading hours through December 31, 2026, determine if the listed price level is touched or breached.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T21:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final \"High\" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nAll prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval (\"1m\") data, will be considered.\n\nPeriods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.\n\nAll times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval (\"1m\") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "finance.yahoo.com",
            "url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Yahoo Finance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Yahoo Finance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 81,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.999,
      "implied_probability": 0.999,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-14T15:00:38.989Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 9357.811673,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 7800,
      "question_id": "CMX-8594AA3DA6",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "kalshi",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-L4LK5ZG9C6",
          "price": 0.841
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "500",
        "equities",
        "index",
        "spx"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M7TZVY2086",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-B3PGCW67Y8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x91d86e254744a4e6796475ecd22243328f062ed4d059a41d557b1da4ac0f58c2",
      "question": "Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in December?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final \"High\" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nAll prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval (\"1m\") data, will be considered.\n\nPeriods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.\n\nAll times referenced are loc",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↑ $7,600: S&P 500 index 1-minute low prices via Yahoo Finance during regular trading hours through December 31, 2026, determine if the listed price level is touched or breached.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-01T21:21:09Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final \"High\" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nAll prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval (\"1m\") data, will be considered.\n\nPeriods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.\n\nAll times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval (\"1m\") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "finance.yahoo.com",
            "url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Yahoo Finance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Yahoo Finance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 81,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.999,
      "implied_probability": 0.999,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 33167.130238,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 7600,
      "question_id": "CMX-7187739599",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "kalshi",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-PNWRK8VJ19",
          "price": 0.995
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "500",
        "equities",
        "index",
        "spx"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YB4PXZRQ41",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-B3PGCW67Y8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7dffc7cb17346c570e612db4dac02b508480f374069d0644cf6db441b0978268",
      "question": "Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,400 (HIGH) in December?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final \"High\" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nAll prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval (\"1m\") data, will be considered.\n\nPeriods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.\n\nAll times referenced are loc",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↑ $7,400: S&P 500 index 1-minute low prices via Yahoo Finance during regular trading hours through December 31, 2026, determine if the listed price level is touched or breached.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-05-08T18:51:54Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final \"High\" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nAll prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval (\"1m\") data, will be considered.\n\nPeriods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.\n\nAll times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval (\"1m\") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "finance.yahoo.com",
            "url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Yahoo Finance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Yahoo Finance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 81,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.999,
      "implied_probability": 0.999,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 8924.68087,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 7400,
      "question_id": "CMX-6E78F5D2E3",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "kalshi",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-5HBH5YKJJ8",
          "price": 0.999
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "500",
        "equities",
        "index",
        "spx"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MQ08FVLKR6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-B3PGCW67Y8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8b4e3d89dd5ad1fcaf0a7da6fb5ed9658442f383a118a38773dd3f7c5a364fc7",
      "question": "Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,600 (LOW) in December?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final \"Low\" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nAll prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval (\"1m\") data, will be considered.\n\nPeriods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.\n\nAll times referenced are loca",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↓ $6,600: S&P 500 index 1-minute low prices via Yahoo Finance during regular trading hours through December 31, 2026, determine if the listed price level is touched or breached.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-03-19T16:06:05Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final \"Low\" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nAll prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval (\"1m\") data, will be considered.\n\nPeriods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.\n\nAll times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval (\"1m\") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "finance.yahoo.com",
            "url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Yahoo Finance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Yahoo Finance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 81,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.999,
      "implied_probability": 0.999,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": null,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 6600,
      "question_id": "CMX-CA8C547EA3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "500",
        "equities",
        "index",
        "spx"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZDRR29CP23",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-B3PGCW67Y8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xfce2cb6a4a64d03051b3e2f7699b8c8090ba8f556ad40a3db4086084168e7d26",
      "question": "Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,400 (LOW) in December?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final \"Low\" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nAll prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval (\"1m\") data, will be considered.\n\nPeriods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.\n\nAll times referenced are loca",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↓ $6,400: S&P 500 index 1-minute low prices via Yahoo Finance during regular trading hours through December 31, 2026, determine if the listed price level is touched or breached.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-03-27T22:52:29Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final \"Low\" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nAll prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval (\"1m\") data, will be considered.\n\nPeriods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.\n\nAll times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval (\"1m\") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "finance.yahoo.com",
            "url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Yahoo Finance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Yahoo Finance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 81,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.999,
      "implied_probability": 0.999,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 8600.051861,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 6400,
      "question_id": "CMX-6697B7DBCD",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "500",
        "equities",
        "index",
        "spx"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WPYY942G49",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-B3PGCW67Y8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x63e5bdd1d9079da369f41a2f5c3b7e6ce3dd7effcadcdd23387dd59447ce80fe",
      "question": "Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final \"Low\" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nAll prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval (\"1m\") data, will be considered.\n\nPeriods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.\n\nAll times referenced are loca",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↓ $6,200: S&P 500 index 1-minute low prices via Yahoo Finance during regular trading hours through December 31, 2026, determine if the listed price level is touched or breached.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T21:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final \"Low\" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nAll prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval (\"1m\") data, will be considered.\n\nPeriods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.\n\nAll times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval (\"1m\") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "finance.yahoo.com",
            "url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Yahoo Finance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Yahoo Finance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 81,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.197,
      "implied_probability": 0.197,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-07T09:00:42.355Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 260,
      "volume_total_usd": 53112.844247,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 6200,
      "question_id": "CMX-2FF960B4B7",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "500",
        "equities",
        "index",
        "spx"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G2KJGYD3J3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-B3PGCW67Y8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x6331d6322a6398a5b42be7cd2ce72c87bbc69276eaea5866620828018165cee3",
      "question": "Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final \"Low\" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nAll prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval (\"1m\") data, will be considered.\n\nPeriods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.\n\nAll times referenced are loca",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↓ $5,800: S&P 500 index 1-minute low prices via Yahoo Finance during regular trading hours through December 31, 2026, determine if the listed price level is touched or breached.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T21:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final \"Low\" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nAll prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval (\"1m\") data, will be considered.\n\nPeriods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.\n\nAll times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval (\"1m\") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "finance.yahoo.com",
            "url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Yahoo Finance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Yahoo Finance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 81,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.08,
      "implied_probability": 0.08,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-02T11:00:39.795Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 41770.048649000004,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 5800,
      "question_id": "CMX-753837ED38",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "500",
        "equities",
        "index",
        "spx"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-V20GZF1Z06",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-B3PGCW67Y8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xbddb2c29c3ca9ec66ec94e9c5e2ccbe227f6ae6adc93ce86732ebc632147fedb",
      "question": "Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final \"Low\" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nAll prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval (\"1m\") data, will be considered.\n\nPeriods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.\n\nAll times referenced are loca",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↓ $5,200: S&P 500 index 1-minute low prices via Yahoo Finance during regular trading hours through December 31, 2026, determine if the listed price level is touched or breached.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T21:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final \"Low\" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nAll prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval (\"1m\") data, will be considered.\n\nPeriods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.\n\nAll times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval (\"1m\") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "finance.yahoo.com",
            "url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Yahoo Finance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Yahoo Finance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 81,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.06,
      "implied_probability": 0.06,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-06T14:00:44.667Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 56897.704423999996,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 5200,
      "question_id": "CMX-EDDAD3DBB3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "500",
        "equities",
        "index",
        "spx"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BN1J1LLB04",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-B3PGCW67Y8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xdda8b52c6bf2cf875f57572345caca0c145924d782b9e4838ca4fdf2186fb9eb",
      "question": "Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final \"Low\" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nAll prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval (\"1m\") data, will be considered.\n\nPeriods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.\n\nAll times referenced are loca",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↓ $4,500: S&P 500 index 1-minute low prices via Yahoo Finance during regular trading hours through December 31, 2026, determine if the listed price level is touched or breached.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T21:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final \"Low\" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nAll prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval (\"1m\") data, will be considered.\n\nPeriods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.\n\nAll times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval (\"1m\") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "finance.yahoo.com",
            "url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Yahoo Finance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Yahoo Finance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 81,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.028,
      "implied_probability": 0.028,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-06T14:00:44.667Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 59984.17549699999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 4500,
      "question_id": "CMX-CC9495D7CB",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "500",
        "equities",
        "index",
        "spx"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M7TZVY2086",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-01T21:21:09Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YB4PXZRQ41",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-05-08T18:51:54Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
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