{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-6Q412JGGS3",
  "slug": "squid-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch",
  "question": "Squid FDV, one day after launch in January 2028",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      100000000,
      150000000
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 30000000,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 40000000,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 50000000,
        "prob": 95
      },
      {
        "threshold": 75000000,
        "prob": 90
      },
      {
        "threshold": 100000000,
        "prob": 55
      },
      {
        "threshold": 150000000,
        "prob": 10
      },
      {
        "threshold": 200000000,
        "prob": 4
      },
      {
        "threshold": 300000000,
        "prob": 5
      },
      {
        "threshold": 400000000,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 600000000,
        "prob": 0
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "fdv-valuation",
    "launch-day",
    "squid-token",
    "market-mechanics",
    "2028"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the fully diluted valuation of the Squid token one calendar day after launch. Each binary contract prices whether FDV exceeds a discrete strike threshold, ranging from $30M to $600M. The strikes form an implied probability curve across valuation outcomes. Resolution uses Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, measuring total supply multiplied by price at 4:00 PM ET on the observation date.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-HG55LGF835",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.1,
    "implied_probability": 0.1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GXBSXPXNR6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6Q412JGGS3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4be490cecb1a90934c45c763fa57739319e25ce5079662d56d4a40437143dbcc",
      "question": "Squid FDV above $50M one day after launch",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Squid's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Squid will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this ma",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$50M: The named token's fully diluted valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after official public launch, determined by UMA Optimistic Oracle, resolves by January 1, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Squid's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Squid will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Squid (https://x.com/squidrouter) doesn't launch a token by January 1, 2028, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/squidrouter",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/squidrouter",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/squidrouter",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.95,
      "implied_probability": 0.95,
      "volume_24h_usd": 4531.171294999999,
      "volume_total_usd": 9310.064056,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 50000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-B7467B4EDA",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "squid",
        "squid fdv"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0NFNH3MJ95",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6Q412JGGS3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf1dadbfa0adb67ce67561751873b8ff6b8db6e7d4dd6e093bdf973a9ad591f56",
      "question": "Squid FDV above $75M one day after launch",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Squid's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Squid will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this ma",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$75M: The named token's fully diluted valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after official public launch, determined by UMA Optimistic Oracle, resolves by January 1, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Squid's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Squid will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Squid (https://x.com/squidrouter) doesn't launch a token by January 1, 2028, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/squidrouter",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/squidrouter",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/squidrouter",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.9,
      "implied_probability": 0.9,
      "volume_24h_usd": 20409.5497,
      "volume_total_usd": 30022.042518000002,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 75000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-E272E16592",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "squid",
        "squid fdv"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9QVQK8KRB4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6Q412JGGS3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3dd3e79c214514c38f4a1a9bb219639ce7ba3fd5b56b32ed7766bd12e28387d5",
      "question": "Squid FDV above $100M one day after launch",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Squid's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Squid will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this ma",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$100M: The named token's fully diluted valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after official public launch, determined by UMA Optimistic Oracle, resolves by January 1, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Squid's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Squid will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Squid (https://x.com/squidrouter) doesn't launch a token by January 1, 2028, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/squidrouter",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/squidrouter",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/squidrouter",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.55,
      "implied_probability": 0.55,
      "volume_24h_usd": 15273.604645,
      "volume_total_usd": 20396.594071999993,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 100000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-62DCABA529",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "squid",
        "squid fdv"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HG55LGF835",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6Q412JGGS3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x22b4088c9ccd89b5f1e84d08d9bfb379a4c4366acf49737398c15fd5051bba1f",
      "question": "Squid FDV above $150M one day after launch",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Squid's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Squid will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this ma",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$150M: The named token's fully diluted valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after official public launch, determined by UMA Optimistic Oracle, resolves by January 1, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Squid's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Squid will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Squid (https://x.com/squidrouter) doesn't launch a token by January 1, 2028, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/squidrouter",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/squidrouter",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/squidrouter",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.1,
      "implied_probability": 0.1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 11963.471292000002,
      "volume_total_usd": 15739.516425,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 150000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-7E951732C9",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "squid",
        "squid fdv"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-S3FGFH1K44",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6Q412JGGS3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2e5285ca85f5daf271e8e3b5f369008fa93aade96d5ab8fe0f9f1695379d813f",
      "question": "Squid FDV above $200M one day after launch",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Squid's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Squid will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this ma",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$200M: The named token's fully diluted valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after official public launch, determined by UMA Optimistic Oracle, resolves by January 1, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Squid's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Squid will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Squid (https://x.com/squidrouter) doesn't launch a token by January 1, 2028, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/squidrouter",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/squidrouter",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/squidrouter",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.04,
      "implied_probability": 0.04,
      "volume_24h_usd": 12272.472495,
      "volume_total_usd": 15652.969074999999,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 200000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-7ABE00EF39",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "squid",
        "squid fdv"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C459DPTY73",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6Q412JGGS3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xecfcd0d505d1ffa0c3e5bd1e221eb2551d9e3f847a42bb86db7a9f3fa5a62a75",
      "question": "Squid FDV above $300M one day after launch",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Squid's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Squid will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this ma",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$300M: The named token's fully diluted valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after official public launch, determined by UMA Optimistic Oracle, resolves by January 1, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Squid's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Squid will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Squid (https://x.com/squidrouter) doesn't launch a token by January 1, 2028, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/squidrouter",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/squidrouter",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/squidrouter",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.049,
      "implied_probability": 0.049,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5793.086552,
      "volume_total_usd": 6034.837152,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 300000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-C255343C8B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "squid",
        "squid fdv"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9C7M7SCTP4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6Q412JGGS3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xba514f7ee0ff1b5815e3f552a19601b07fa7c9485774c9f86e7a7690834db8a9",
      "question": "Squid FDV above $400M one day after launch",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Squid's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Squid will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this ma",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$400M: The named token's fully diluted valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after official public launch, determined by UMA Optimistic Oracle, resolves by January 1, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Squid's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Squid will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Squid (https://x.com/squidrouter) doesn't launch a token by January 1, 2028, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/squidrouter",
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            "url": "https://x.com/squidrouter",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "volume_total_usd": 2864.1289,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 400000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-717984DAFF",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "launch",
        "squid",
        "squid fdv"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LR81X07XV9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6Q412JGGS3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x35048fc771e17f8abfcf54dc7d8abaec29dd965151790693fc1792a5a769503e",
      "question": "Squid FDV above $600M one day after launch",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$600M: The named token's fully diluted valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after official public launch, determined by UMA Optimistic Oracle, resolves by January 1, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Squid's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Squid will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Squid (https://x.com/squidrouter) doesn't launch a token by January 1, 2028, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "source_citation": "https://x.com/squidrouter",
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            "url": "https://x.com/squidrouter",
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          },
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3996.14,
      "volume_total_usd": 4885.611338,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 600000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-9AE2B0452E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "launch",
        "squid",
        "squid fdv"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VMBDJD3Q00",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6Q412JGGS3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x95baf9cac1124c3b3028448734a5a7159ecace575c2441d46d7e5ce0222fb794",
      "question": "Squid FDV above $30M one day after launch",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$30M: The named token's fully diluted valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after official public launch, determined by UMA Optimistic Oracle, resolves by January 1, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Squid's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Squid will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Squid (https://x.com/squidrouter) doesn't launch a token by January 1, 2028, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/squidrouter",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/squidrouter",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
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          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "implied_probability": 0.998,
      "volume_24h_usd": 7453.659184,
      "volume_total_usd": 10247.072561,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 30000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-161AE4C46E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "squid",
        "squid fdv"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2ZDTZPJZ51",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6Q412JGGS3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0182859b15ba14d5175e779cb0780d28f7d11bef81b12ec0ffdd157dcd5ae039",
      "question": "Squid FDV above $40M one day after launch",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Squid's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Squid will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this ma",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$40M: The named token's fully diluted valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after official public launch, determined by UMA Optimistic Oracle, resolves by January 1, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Squid's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Squid will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Squid (https://x.com/squidrouter) doesn't launch a token by January 1, 2028, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/squidrouter",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/squidrouter",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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            "name": "https://x.com/squidrouter",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.997,
      "implied_probability": 0.997,
      "volume_24h_usd": 6702.201911,
      "volume_total_usd": 8915.173229999999,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 40000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-FC5F0597A1",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "squid",
        "squid fdv"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-6Q412JGGS3",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}