{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-08TR64F649",
  "slug": "stablecoins-depeg-before-2027",
  "question": "Stablecoin depeg in 2026? (multi-deadline series)",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "below",
    "implied_band": [
      1,
      1
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 1,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1,
        "prob": 5
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1,
        "prob": 6
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1,
        "prob": 7
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1,
        "prob": 6
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1,
        "prob": 6
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1,
        "prob": 7
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1,
        "prob": 7
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1,
        "prob": 6
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1,
        "prob": 100
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "stablecoins",
    "depegging",
    "market-stability",
    "2027",
    "multi-asset"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks whether any of ten named stablecoins depeg before December 31, 2026. Each Polymarket contract isolates a single issuer: USDC, USDE, USDS, DAI, USD1, PYUSD, USDTb, USD0, GHO, and USR. Traders can express idiosyncratic credit or liquidity views on each issuer separately. All ten resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle by January 1, 2027.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-GK0J8DQSV9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.012,
    "implied_probability": 0.012
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GK0J8DQSV9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-08TR64F649",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x37721f9651e1861ba49d70aee9199a7b285daeb62bdee0ddb4c6969344dc98fb",
      "question": "USDC depeg by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for USDC-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nBelow 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of USDC below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the USDC-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "USDC: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for USDC-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nBelow 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of USDC below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the USDC-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSDCUSD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” at the top of the chart.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Pyth USDC-USD. If Pyth stops having the necessary USDC information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether USDC was below 98 cents for 24 hours or more may be used to resolve this market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSDCUSD",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "tradingview.com",
            "url": "https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSDCUSD",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "TradingView",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSDCUSD",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "tradingview.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 54,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.012,
      "implied_probability": 0.012,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 267592.432721,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 1,
      "question_id": "CMX-7900F73F50",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "stablecoin",
        "usdc"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JBB90VYCY0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-08TR64F649",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf81d31cfc93941e171b905424c37fb83fcfeb3b39661063536ab14d0b356d45a",
      "question": "USDE depeg by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for USDE-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nBelow 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of USDE below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the USDE-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "USDE: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for USDE-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nBelow 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of USDE below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the USDE-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSDEUSD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” at the top of the chart.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Pyth USDE-USD. If Pyth stops having the necessary USDE information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether USDE was below 98 cents for 24 hours or more may be used to resolve this market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSDCUSD",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "tradingview.com",
            "url": "https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSDCUSD",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "TradingView",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSDCUSD",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "tradingview.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 54,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.05,
      "implied_probability": 0.05,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 8550.971602999998,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 1,
      "question_id": "CMX-9C6816C431",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "stablecoin",
        "usde"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QRBMH986Z2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-08TR64F649",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x98bfadd5217608f81f1feab2cb88e2b97a29159bf264b547b4b699d1c4dfa9c8",
      "question": "USDS depeg by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for USDS-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nBelow 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of USDS below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the USDS-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "USDS: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for USDS-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nBelow 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of USDS below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the USDS-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSDSUSD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” at the top of the chart.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Pyth USDS-USD. If Pyth stops having the necessary USDS information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether USDS was below 98 cents for 24 hours or more may be used to resolve this market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSDCUSD",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "tradingview.com",
            "url": "https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSDCUSD",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "TradingView",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSDCUSD",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "tradingview.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 54,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.06,
      "implied_probability": 0.06,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 796.4834319999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 1,
      "question_id": "CMX-5B6CB11BE1",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "stablecoin",
        "usds"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CPPN6RWWL4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-08TR64F649",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb7a2f1cf9525bd9c3acea5cb4f977c85d1dec2f73cf6a5b336ec8a6b73260291",
      "question": "DAI depeg by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for DAI-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nBelow 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of DAI below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DAI-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3A",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "DAI: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for DAI-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nBelow 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of DAI below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DAI-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3ADAIUSD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” at the top of the chart.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Pyth DAI-USD. If Pyth stops having the necessary DAI information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether DAI was below 98 cents for 24 hours or more may be used to resolve this market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSDCUSD",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "tradingview.com",
            "url": "https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSDCUSD",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "TradingView",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSDCUSD",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "tradingview.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 54,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.06,
      "implied_probability": 0.06,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3518.695117999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 1,
      "question_id": "CMX-4B83BA877A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "dai",
        "stablecoin"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9JZN52FQX5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-08TR64F649",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x26bd52c930651a76b3ba1bdd973f96695f792128d4837430702842d8ab77b18e",
      "question": "USD1 depeg by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for USD1-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nBelow 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of USD1 below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the USD1-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "USD1: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for USD1-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nBelow 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of USD1 below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the USD1-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSD1USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” at the top of the chart.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Pyth USD1-USD. If Pyth stops having the necessary USD1 information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether USD1 was below 98 cents for 24 hours or more may be used to resolve this market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSDCUSD",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "tradingview.com",
            "url": "https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSDCUSD",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "TradingView",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSDCUSD",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "tradingview.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 54,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.09,
      "implied_probability": 0.09,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 15937.533406999994,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 1,
      "question_id": "CMX-73C6DDF20C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "stablecoin",
        "usd1"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y5X512BQZ2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-08TR64F649",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3fb8710998b50c0950f39e7383ca53fdfe93ce7abce8039016edc04740c191cd",
      "question": "PYUSD depeg by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for PYUSD-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nBelow 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of PYUSD below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the PYUSD-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=P",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "PYUSD: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for PYUSD-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nBelow 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of PYUSD below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the PYUSD-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3APYUSDUSD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” at the top of the chart.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Pyth PYUSD-USD. If Pyth stops having the necessary PYUSD information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether PYUSD was below 98 cents for 24 hours or more may be used to resolve this market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSDCUSD",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "tradingview.com",
            "url": "https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSDCUSD",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "TradingView",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSDCUSD",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "tradingview.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 54,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.06,
      "implied_probability": 0.06,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 600.1974660000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 1,
      "question_id": "CMX-3D4AB093A6",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "pyusd",
        "stablecoin"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1ZRPKGW3Y5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-08TR64F649",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xfa12351515ae97905653b1dd934cd06c1180c2781236f7395be193e93094aeaa",
      "question": "USDTb depeg by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for USDTb-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nBelow 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of USDTb below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the USDTb-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=P",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "USDTb: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for USDTb-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nBelow 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of USDTb below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the USDTb-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSDTbUSD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” at the top of the chart.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Pyth USDTb-USD. If Pyth stops having the necessary USDTb information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether USDTb was below 98 cents for 24 hours or more may be used to resolve this market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSDCUSD",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "tradingview.com",
            "url": "https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSDCUSD",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "TradingView",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSDCUSD",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "tradingview.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 54,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.07,
      "implied_probability": 0.07,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 706.6223810000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 1,
      "question_id": "CMX-43B1CAAB2E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "stablecoin",
        "usdtb"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P8TVTPCFP1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-08TR64F649",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x923a8c8da1da533988f7ac982d7634a22b044c102ec1228f370db30c1bd1b095",
      "question": "USD0 depeg by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for USD0-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nBelow 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of USD0 below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the USD0-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "USD0: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for USD0-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nBelow 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of USD0 below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the USD0-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSD0USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” at the top of the chart.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Pyth USD0-USD. If Pyth stops having the necessary USD0 information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether USD0 was below 98 cents for 24 hours or more may be used to resolve this market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSDCUSD",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "tradingview.com",
            "url": "https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSDCUSD",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "TradingView",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSDCUSD",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "tradingview.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 54,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.08,
      "implied_probability": 0.08,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1318.760392,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 1,
      "question_id": "CMX-8D0893E077",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "stablecoin",
        "usd0"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-81XPRP0136",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-08TR64F649",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x47c7a3fea3e1a787a43767257f8dce05eb2d476bf92afdc213666b90a397fac1",
      "question": "GHO depeg by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for GHO-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nBelow 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of GHO below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the GHO-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3A",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "GHO: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for GHO-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nBelow 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of GHO below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the GHO-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AGHOUSD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” at the top of the chart.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Pyth GHO-USD. If Pyth stops having the necessary GHO information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether GHO was below 98 cents for 24 hours or more may be used to resolve this market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSDCUSD",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "tradingview.com",
            "url": "https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSDCUSD",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "TradingView",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSDCUSD",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "tradingview.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 54,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.06,
      "implied_probability": 0.06,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1529.4153409999997,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 1,
      "question_id": "CMX-D0A2C94D59",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gho",
        "stablecoin"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9BWJD8R4V5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-08TR64F649",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x6ce9ebdaa019c5f9180d35ddb86b4809789d5c7aca6dd3634aa2b507c07cc8a4",
      "question": "USR depeg by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for USR-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nBelow 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of USR below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the USR-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3A",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "USR: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-03-23T12:02:31Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for USR-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nBelow 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of USR below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the USR-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSRUSD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” at the top of the chart.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Pyth USR-USD. If Pyth stops having the necessary USR information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether USR was below 98 cents for 24 hours or more may be used to resolve this market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSDCUSD",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "tradingview.com",
            "url": "https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSDCUSD",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "TradingView",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSDCUSD",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "tradingview.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 54,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.999,
      "implied_probability": 0.999,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": null,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 1,
      "question_id": "CMX-9E42F6ED9F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "stablecoin",
        "usr"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9BWJD8R4V5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-03-23T12:02:31Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-08TR64F649",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}