{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-JHJ5NZWWD8",
  "slug": "standx-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch",
  "question": "StandX fully diluted valuation, one day after launch",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      200000000,
      400000000
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 200000000,
        "prob": 64
      },
      {
        "threshold": 400000000,
        "prob": 36
      },
      {
        "threshold": 800000000,
        "prob": 19
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1000000000,
        "prob": 11
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2000000000,
        "prob": 5
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3000000000,
        "prob": 2
      },
      {
        "threshold": 5000000000,
        "prob": 2
      },
      {
        "threshold": 7000000000,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 10000000000,
        "prob": 1
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "token-launch",
    "fdv-valuation",
    "standx",
    "market-cap",
    "2027"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track StandX token fully diluted valuation one day after launch, closing January 2027. Nine binary strike thresholds span $200M to $10B, forming an implied probability distribution over launch-day FDV. Each strike resolves independently via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle using the most liquid available price source at 4:00 PM ET. Resolution caveat: illiquid post-launch conditions may produce thin order books, complicating authoritative price determination.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-Z9BY4HM815",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.31,
    "implied_probability": 0.31
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BK3K8ZB4M8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JHJ5NZWWD8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xdb356abf1fcca436f210879fea4ce6844355d32cf2ef8f9f5877750ddd830f5d",
      "question": "StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$5B: The listed company's token fully diluted valuation resolves via the most liquid price source available at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch, or \"No\" if unlaunched by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/StandX_Official",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/StandX_Official",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/StandX_Official",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "volume_24h_usd": 510.58548099999996,
      "volume_total_usd": 123129.07079699996,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-39B9793076",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "standx",
        "standx fdv"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CM274P0BV0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JHJ5NZWWD8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb21d4b44e3ea95538a40c635241b96d4560e38791a2ab14e34d7dd90cacd0c72",
      "question": "StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$7B: The listed company's token fully diluted valuation resolves via the most liquid price source available at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch, or \"No\" if unlaunched by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/StandX_Official",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/StandX_Official",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/StandX_Official",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.033,
      "implied_probability": 0.033,
      "volume_24h_usd": 685.002333,
      "volume_total_usd": 66247.09151400001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 7000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-D6E641E051",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "standx",
        "standx fdv"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZC8Q9B44M7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JHJ5NZWWD8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x29378dd4aa128c5ad1a8736e3cca9fde9332bc2d85305cc32c15a2def12c4b58",
      "question": "StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$10B: The listed company's token fully diluted valuation resolves via the most liquid price source available at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch, or \"No\" if unlaunched by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/StandX_Official",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/StandX_Official",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/StandX_Official",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.005,
      "implied_probability": 0.005,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 182017.91105499992,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 10000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-704D295C0A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "standx",
        "standx fdv"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XKB9TJY767",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JHJ5NZWWD8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x31f521ffcf9b23c876d418bbe8205ac1fab62d0aed60d6dbbc66ca3b01bdbff5",
      "question": "StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$1B: The listed company's token fully diluted valuation resolves via the most liquid price source available at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch, or \"No\" if unlaunched by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/StandX_Official",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/StandX_Official",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/StandX_Official",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.12,
      "implied_probability": 0.12,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 404263.11045700015,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-678F5FA54F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "standx",
        "standx fdv"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TSC4P35YL0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JHJ5NZWWD8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf411b549a0f6dbdd7cf1386adca51ea2043674fbf6b18a9137787e7ebb3e2146",
      "question": "StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$3B: The listed company's token fully diluted valuation resolves via the most liquid price source available at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch, or \"No\" if unlaunched by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/StandX_Official",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/StandX_Official",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/StandX_Official",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.117,
      "implied_probability": 0.117,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1174.9700990000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 184981.05373399984,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-953E878BF3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "standx",
        "standx fdv"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FT0MQ7S7B7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JHJ5NZWWD8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x98a00a768588cb4ea560143e9a4140428102c3b82e9dad2972329fc6806d36c9",
      "question": "StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$800M: The listed company's token fully diluted valuation resolves via the most liquid price source available at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch, or \"No\" if unlaunched by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/StandX_Official",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/StandX_Official",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/StandX_Official",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.18,
      "implied_probability": 0.18,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 333897.45937100076,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 800000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-B35B963733",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "standx",
        "standx fdv"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-33VQDR2PS6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JHJ5NZWWD8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x50e50cab9628f2f009e9e35950082f31465d8f7005ad886a8899d7d5125b6ede",
      "question": "StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$2B: The listed company's token fully diluted valuation resolves via the most liquid price source available at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch, or \"No\" if unlaunched by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/StandX_Official",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/StandX_Official",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/StandX_Official",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
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      "volume_24h_usd": 123,
      "volume_total_usd": 37332.829120000024,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
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      "threshold": 200000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-DC269B0635",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "standx",
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    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-JHJ5NZWWD8",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}