{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-GY5KSDWBB8",
  "slug": "state-of-siege-declared-in-chile-by-june-30",
  "question": "Will a State of Siege be declared in Chile by June 30?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "chile",
    "state-of-siege",
    "political-emergency",
    "geopolitics",
    "latin-america",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks whether Chile's executive or legislature formally declares a State of Siege before June 30, 2026. A State of Siege is a constitutional emergency measure under Article 40 of the Chilean Constitution. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, referencing official declarations from the Chilean National Congress or the President. No corroborating platform prices this event, so no cross-platform structural contrast exists.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-X1WD9KZ6Y9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-X1WD9KZ6Y9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GY5KSDWBB8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x76e9ed792584943b6a3aa6cb5212a866d79b4acd93d6729069ff254af3890aae",
      "question": "State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30? ",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a legally binding decree declaring a State of Siege (“Estado de Sitio”) in Chile enters into effect at any point between this market’s creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTo count toward resolution, the corresponding decree must explicitly constitute a “State of Siege” as defined by Article 40 of the Chilean Constitution, i.e., it must not be rejected by the National Congress within five days of the President submitting the declaration (after which Congressional approval is deemed granted if no decision is ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The Chilean National Congress or President's official declaration of a State of Siege under Article 40 of the Chilean Constitution, effective by June 30, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a legally binding decree declaring a State of Siege (“Estado de Sitio”) in Chile enters into effect at any point between this market’s creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTo count toward resolution, the corresponding decree must explicitly constitute a “State of Siege” as defined by Article 40 of the Chilean Constitution, i.e., it must not be rejected by the National Congress within five days of the President submitting the declaration (after which Congressional approval is deemed granted if no decision is issued).\n\nOnly declarations explicitly constituting an “Estado de Sitio” under Chile’s constitutional states of exception will count. If the legal name of the “Estado de Sitio” state of exception changes via constitutional reform but retains the same essential powers, it may qualify.\n\nA declaration of a “State of Emergency” (Estado de Emergencia) or “State of Catastrophe” (Estado de Catástrofe) will not count.\n\nIf a region is under a State of Emergency and is subsequently upgraded to a State of Siege, the market resolves \"Yes\" once the State of Siege takes effect as described above.\n\nA decree applying to any province or region of Chile will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be the Diario Oficial de la República de Chile (www.diariooficial.cl). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
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      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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          "uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 56724.46416099991,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "chile",
        "chile state siege",
        "emergency",
        "government",
        "political"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-X1WD9KZ6Y9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-GY5KSDWBB8",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}