{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-9PLHY2RJ70",
  "slug": "sunshine-silver-ipo-closing-market-cap",
  "question": "Will Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2B and $2.25B at market close on IPO day?",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "finance",
    "business",
    "ipo",
    "market-cap",
    "sunshine-silver"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Sunshine Silver's closing market capitalization on its IPO day, June 4, 2026. Six discrete tier markets cover the full valuation range from sub-$2B to $3B-plus, plus one binary on whether the IPO occurs before August 2026. All markets resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle using closing price and outstanding share count. Resolution depends on accurate post-close share count disclosure, which can lag intraday data.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-SXP01LNSF9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M54D6LD073",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9PLHY2RJ70",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd673100eb5b3f41a347ca57ece3c9110063244137a2efa397bb4ec194ae65e97",
      "question": "Will Sunshine Silver's market cap be less than $2B at market close on IPO day?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on Sunshine Silver's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nAs of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before August 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.\n\nIt is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.\n\nIf necessary, to accur",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Sunshine Silver's closing stock price and outstanding share count on June 4, 2026, its IPO day, determine market capitalization.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-04T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-04T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on Sunshine Silver's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nAs of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before August 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.\n\nIt is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.\n\nIf necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.\n\nThe number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "Sec",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 483.6,
      "volume_total_usd": 2050.4209459999997,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 2,
      "question_id": "CMX-9D1DD5994C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ipo",
        "market cap",
        "sunshine silver",
        "sunshine silver cap"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-93JWCCGFM3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9PLHY2RJ70",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x759d019e5df9304a9a16290425c3a86c1e8b605cbd2fa445a962a38ddd933a73",
      "question": "Will Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2.75B and $3B at market close on IPO day?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on Sunshine Silver's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nAs of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before August 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.\n\nIt is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.\n\nIf necessary, to accur",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Sunshine Silver's closing stock price and outstanding share count on June 4, 2026, its IPO day, determine market capitalization.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-04T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-04T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on Sunshine Silver's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nAs of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before August 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.\n\nIt is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.\n\nIf necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.\n\nThe number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "Sec",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 360.8721,
      "volume_total_usd": 2664.034161,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-212E65930A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ipo",
        "market cap",
        "sunshine silver",
        "sunshine silver cap"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SXP01LNSF9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9PLHY2RJ70",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1fb0d9ef60ef62807317cbb693d8d9ee8aab072907f9d2227a38a63e3f1bccf0",
      "question": "Will Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2B and $2.25B at market close on IPO day?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on Sunshine Silver's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nAs of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before August 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.\n\nIt is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.\n\nIf necessary, to accur",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Sunshine Silver's closing stock price and outstanding share count on June 4, 2026, its IPO day, determine market capitalization.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-04T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-04T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on Sunshine Silver's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nAs of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before August 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.\n\nIt is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.\n\nIf necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.\n\nThe number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "Sec",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 604.335372,
      "volume_total_usd": 5540.743846999999,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-212E65930A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ipo",
        "market cap",
        "sunshine silver",
        "sunshine silver cap"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3M97ZRS9B4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9PLHY2RJ70",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8cdf20785357ba7d2a41a11f786554947ec3d8e0d530c3acfc8d815292710c0d",
      "question": "Will Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2.25B and $2.5B at market close on IPO day?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on Sunshine Silver's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nAs of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before August 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.\n\nIt is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.\n\nIf necessary, to accur",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Sunshine Silver's closing stock price and outstanding share count on June 4, 2026, its IPO day, determine market capitalization.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-04T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-04T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on Sunshine Silver's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nAs of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before August 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.\n\nIt is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.\n\nIf necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.\n\nThe number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "Sec",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 302.4,
      "volume_total_usd": 2167.257877,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-212E65930A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ipo",
        "market cap",
        "sunshine silver",
        "sunshine silver cap"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TTSPJ2R1K4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9PLHY2RJ70",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe6b34211e604ef803a4863e666cb2897b1def3572de862c10151408d6c364f83",
      "question": "Will Sunshine Silver not IPO before August 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on Sunshine Silver's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nAs of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before August 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.\n\nIt is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.\n\nIf necessary, to accur",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Sunshine Silver's closing stock price and outstanding share count on June 4, 2026, its IPO day, determine market capitalization.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-04T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-04T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on Sunshine Silver's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nAs of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before August 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.\n\nIt is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.\n\nIf necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.\n\nThe number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "Sec",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 583.39,
      "volume_total_usd": 1313.1136000000001,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-9E8B2A577A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ipo",
        "sunshine silver",
        "sunshine silver ipo"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TJQZTY1YD9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9PLHY2RJ70",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe90ea68c8c36eb6dc8fc73112d096fb50128dffbd01c38dae17eedd526116231",
      "question": "Will Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2.5B and $2.75B at market close on IPO day?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on Sunshine Silver's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nAs of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before August 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.\n\nIt is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.\n\nIf necessary, to accur",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Sunshine Silver's closing stock price and outstanding share count on June 4, 2026, its IPO day, determine market capitalization.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-04T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-04T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on Sunshine Silver's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nAs of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before August 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.\n\nIt is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.\n\nIf necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.\n\nThe number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "Sec",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 674.02,
      "volume_total_usd": 2190.089586,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-75B267C968",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ipo",
        "market cap",
        "sunshine silver",
        "sunshine silver cap"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NWBL9V5TW7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9PLHY2RJ70",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd901f9ea7a0e23d31bd82ed791f91e5bdeba58baa964b8ee11b1d6fe1db4b325",
      "question": "Will Sunshine Silver's market cap be at least $3B at market close on IPO day?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on Sunshine Silver's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nAs of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before August 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.\n\nIt is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.\n\nIf necessary, to accur",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Sunshine Silver's closing stock price and outstanding share count on June 4, 2026, its IPO day, determine market capitalization.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-04T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-04T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on Sunshine Silver's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nAs of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before August 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.\n\nIt is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.\n\nIf necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.\n\nThe number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "Sec",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 468.863075,
      "volume_total_usd": 2429.0552599999996,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3,
      "question_id": "CMX-D33835BF94",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ipo",
        "market cap",
        "sunshine silver",
        "sunshine silver cap"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M54D6LD073",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-04T16:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-93JWCCGFM3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-04T16:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SXP01LNSF9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-04T16:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3M97ZRS9B4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-04T16:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TTSPJ2R1K4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-04T16:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TJQZTY1YD9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-04T16:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NWBL9V5TW7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-04T16:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-9PLHY2RJ70",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}