{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-SLC4N114W0",
  "slug": "sweden-parliamentary-election-winner",
  "question": "Will the Sweden Democrats win the most seats in the Swedish parliamentary election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "sweden",
    "parliamentary",
    "2026",
    "seat-plurality"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which party wins the most seats in Sweden's Riksdag election on September 13, 2026. Polymarket lists each named party as a separate binary outcome market, resolved via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. The Social Democrats, Sweden Democrats, and Moderates are the only historically competitive contenders for the largest-party position. Official seat counts will derive from Sweden's Election Authority results, which serve as the factual basis for resolution.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-97RCNFLSM4",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.016,
    "implied_probability": 0.016
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
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      "question": "Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.\n\nIf voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market wi",
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      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Swedish Social Democratic Party (S): Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.\n\nIf voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. \n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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          {
            "name": "Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten)",
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      "implied_probability": 0.981,
      "volume_24h_usd": 183.83,
      "volume_total_usd": 85629.078865,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question": "Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?",
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      "underlying_reference": "Sweden Democrats (SD): Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.\n\nIf voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. \n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).",
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      "last_price": 0.016,
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      "platform_market_id": "0x69ecf812e14d03fbed7ba63e2227558d7269b13fc520ede2e878b880689d4673",
      "question": "Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?",
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      "underlying_reference": "Moderate Party (M): Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.\n\nIf voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. \n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).",
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            "name": "Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten)",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.003,
      "implied_probability": 0.003,
      "volume_24h_usd": 73.99882999999997,
      "volume_total_usd": 402936.76219599997,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HCGX09N0H2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SLC4N114W0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x78fc3c3614ec4bfb92825c7eb5d98cd131faa1e83e1dad6c9d6643663ad3a0c8",
      "question": "Will the Centre Party (C) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.\n\nIf voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market wi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Centre Party (C): Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.\n\nIf voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. \n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).",
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          {
            "name": "Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten)",
            "url": null,
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      "rcg": {
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1VCG95DRM0",
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      "question": "Will the Left Party (V) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.\n\nIf voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market wi",
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      "close_at": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.\n\nIf voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. \n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).",
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        "source_citation": "https://www.val.se/",
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            "name": "val.se",
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          {
            "name": "Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten)",
            "url": null,
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        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
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      "direction": null,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-99RVD56PX9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SLC4N114W0",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xa50fafd0a12d15170128d489b2c26347ed635a84d1a88ab9f77414a358a15491",
      "question": "Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.\n\nIf voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market wi",
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      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Christian Democrats (KD): Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.\n\nIf voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. \n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.val.se/",
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          {
            "name": "val.se",
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          {
            "name": "Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten)",
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        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "direction": null,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RHNTRKNWH5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SLC4N114W0",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x59df45d0523260ee1cc889e54c32b59ec6d1ec49c32cabec71baf470e869d49a",
      "question": "Will the Green Party (MP) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.\n\nIf voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market wi",
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      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Green Party (MP): Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.\n\nIf voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. \n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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            "name": "val.se",
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          {
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