{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-8FMH2ZKGS2",
  "slug": "tallahassee-mayoral-election-winner-20260602161603006",
  "question": "Will the Tallahassee mayoral election be held by August 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "local-elections",
    "florida-politics",
    "2026",
    "mayoral-race"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the Tallahassee mayoral election on August 18, 2026. Polymarket structures the event as candidate-specific binary contracts: Ausley, Foust, Matlow, Parks, Lawson, and placeholder slots for undeclared entrants. The contracts are mutually exclusive; exactly one resolves yes. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, triggered by official vote tallies from Leon County election authorities.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-9DTDJM2207",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.59,
    "implied_probability": 0.59,
    "as_of": null
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9DTDJM2207",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8FMH2ZKGS2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5e679f25f413ea3f2e6715c2453738b8311a4291fe26fbb7606469e4338ea554",
      "question": "Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market wil",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Loranne Ausley: The named candidate who receives the most votes in the Tallahassee mayoral election on August 18, 2026, or wins a November 3, 2026 runoff, becomes mayor, as confirmed by official election results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.59,
      "implied_probability": 0.59,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 219.98,
      "volume_total_usd": 79239.35904399998,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "election",
        "loranne ausley",
        "mayor",
        "tallahassee"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JRYF8MN6L2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8FMH2ZKGS2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xaed52c562268e3298a4573a3bf56d2d6fd0d9271d1f1604d32988af1765973c1",
      "question": "Will Michael Foust win the Tallahassee mayoral election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market wil",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Michael Foust: The named candidate who receives the most votes in the Tallahassee mayoral election on August 18, 2026, or wins a November 3, 2026 runoff, becomes mayor, as confirmed by official election results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.013,
      "implied_probability": 0.013,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 4179.735822000001,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "election",
        "mayor",
        "michael foust",
        "tallahassee"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LKP2F60HV8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8FMH2ZKGS2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xfaaf021c1903173c210f359c8ef23dc0ba3da1a2ffa2b9657bbf2c462f0316e5",
      "question": "Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market wil",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Jeremy Matlow: The named candidate who receives the most votes in the Tallahassee mayoral election on August 18, 2026, or wins a November 3, 2026 runoff, becomes mayor, as confirmed by official election results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.316,
      "implied_probability": 0.316,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 315.64,
      "volume_total_usd": 7532.116854000001,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "election",
        "jeremy matlow",
        "mayor",
        "tallahassee"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1ZZJWGQ1X9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8FMH2ZKGS2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x992e3f200f3803bfedc98746f6f5045e9b45fecd4e4c714cfed4a05f6c834826",
      "question": "Will Daryl Parks win the Tallahassee mayoral election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market wil",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Daryl Parks: The named candidate who receives the most votes in the Tallahassee mayoral election on August 18, 2026, or wins a November 3, 2026 runoff, becomes mayor, as confirmed by official election results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.051,
      "implied_probability": 0.051,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 7169.92767,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "daryl parks",
        "election",
        "mayor",
        "tallahassee"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZC350PTHB0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8FMH2ZKGS2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x78b532aef17ee0ff782cc0fa3abab14411343957b56a326e0897801057644f8a",
      "question": "Will Al Lawson win the Tallahassee mayoral election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market wil",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Al Lawson: The named candidate who receives the most votes in the Tallahassee mayoral election on August 18, 2026, or wins a November 3, 2026 runoff, becomes mayor, as confirmed by official election results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.003,
      "implied_probability": 0.003,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 20832.887126999998,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "al lawson",
        "election",
        "mayor",
        "tallahassee"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6LWM369KJ1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8FMH2ZKGS2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4ccf5298bd8083a472c8f467d15910149f72a1a1621c79c51782959825abdcba",
      "question": "Will Candidate A win the Tallahassee mayoral election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market wil",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate A: The named candidate who receives the most votes in the Tallahassee mayoral election on August 18, 2026, or wins a November 3, 2026 runoff, becomes mayor, as confirmed by official election results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "candidate",
        "election",
        "mayor",
        "tallahassee"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-D7XSMTDCD0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8FMH2ZKGS2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd0801a32c96052be2376f798ce4b38a74853d33d527dc47a1f634ff7dced4f67",
      "question": "Will Candidate B win the Tallahassee mayoral election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market wil",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate B: The named candidate who receives the most votes in the Tallahassee mayoral election on August 18, 2026, or wins a November 3, 2026 runoff, becomes mayor, as confirmed by official election results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
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