{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-8FMH2ZKGS2",
  "slug": "tallahassee-mayoral-election-winner-20260602161603006",
  "question": "Will the Tallahassee mayoral election be held by August 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "tallahassee",
    "2026",
    "local-government",
    "florida"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the Tallahassee mayoral election on August 18, 2026. Polymarket structures the event as twelve parallel binary contracts, one per named candidate or placeholder slot. All twelve resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against official vote tallies. Placeholder slots (Candidates A through F) reflect potential late entrants not yet on the ballot.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-9DTDJM2207",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.38,
    "implied_probability": 0.38
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JRYF8MN6L2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8FMH2ZKGS2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xaed52c562268e3298a4573a3bf56d2d6fd0d9271d1f1604d32988af1765973c1",
      "question": "Will Michael Foust win the Tallahassee mayoral election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market wil",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Michael Foust: The named candidate who receives the most votes in the Tallahassee mayoral election on August 18, 2026, or wins a November 3, 2026 runoff, becomes mayor, as confirmed by official election results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 54,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.013,
      "implied_probability": 0.013,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 1887.5236019999998,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "election",
        "mayor",
        "michael foust",
        "tallahassee"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LKP2F60HV8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8FMH2ZKGS2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xfaaf021c1903173c210f359c8ef23dc0ba3da1a2ffa2b9657bbf2c462f0316e5",
      "question": "Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market wil",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Jeremy Matlow: The named candidate who receives the most votes in the Tallahassee mayoral election on August 18, 2026, or wins a November 3, 2026 runoff, becomes mayor, as confirmed by official election results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 54,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.199,
      "implied_probability": 0.199,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 1882.4772799999998,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "election",
        "jeremy matlow",
        "mayor",
        "tallahassee"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1ZZJWGQ1X9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8FMH2ZKGS2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x992e3f200f3803bfedc98746f6f5045e9b45fecd4e4c714cfed4a05f6c834826",
      "question": "Will Daryl Parks win the Tallahassee mayoral election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market wil",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Daryl Parks: The named candidate who receives the most votes in the Tallahassee mayoral election on August 18, 2026, or wins a November 3, 2026 runoff, becomes mayor, as confirmed by official election results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 54,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.269,
      "implied_probability": 0.269,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 2609.716178,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "daryl parks",
        "election",
        "mayor",
        "tallahassee"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZC350PTHB0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8FMH2ZKGS2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x78b532aef17ee0ff782cc0fa3abab14411343957b56a326e0897801057644f8a",
      "question": "Will Al Lawson win the Tallahassee mayoral election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market wil",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Al Lawson: The named candidate who receives the most votes in the Tallahassee mayoral election on August 18, 2026, or wins a November 3, 2026 runoff, becomes mayor, as confirmed by official election results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 54,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.003,
      "implied_probability": 0.003,
      "volume_24h_usd": 25.17,
      "volume_total_usd": 18152.87427,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "al lawson",
        "election",
        "mayor",
        "tallahassee"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-J6M178T0M1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8FMH2ZKGS2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x625ecd7adc881f733f453641461852eb9fc6243c21c8a36d2392aa9cf205baff",
      "question": "Will Candidate F win the Tallahassee mayoral election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market wil",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate F: The named candidate who receives the most votes in the Tallahassee mayoral election on August 18, 2026, or wins a November 3, 2026 runoff, becomes mayor, as confirmed by official election results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 54,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "candidate",
        "election",
        "mayor",
        "tallahassee"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6LWM369KJ1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8FMH2ZKGS2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4ccf5298bd8083a472c8f467d15910149f72a1a1621c79c51782959825abdcba",
      "question": "Will Candidate A win the Tallahassee mayoral election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market wil",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate A: The named candidate who receives the most votes in the Tallahassee mayoral election on August 18, 2026, or wins a November 3, 2026 runoff, becomes mayor, as confirmed by official election results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 54,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "candidate",
        "election",
        "mayor",
        "tallahassee"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SJ3RXSQ459",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8FMH2ZKGS2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x22fe41b9374b2934dce22d9c1d5aec5ecebdd0690b2d8f356c04f034f16ee0df",
      "question": "Will Candidate E win the Tallahassee mayoral election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market wil",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate E: The named candidate who receives the most votes in the Tallahassee mayoral election on August 18, 2026, or wins a November 3, 2026 runoff, becomes mayor, as confirmed by official election results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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