{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-CDLCKXLMR7",
  "slug": "ted-cruz-of-tweets-july-31-august-7-2026",
  "question": "Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "social-media-activity",
    "ted-cruz",
    "2026",
    "us-senator",
    "quantitative-metric"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Ted Cruz's total X post count across eleven discrete 20-unit buckets from July 31 to August 7, 2026. The buckets span 0-19 through 200-plus, covering original posts, quote posts, and reposts. Exactly one bucket resolves true; the structure prices a distribution over posting volume, not a binary outcome. All markets resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle using X Tracker's Post Counter as the authoritative data source.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-PVTLM0BYQ0",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.23,
    "implied_probability": 0.23
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q1VR6X9P39",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CDLCKXLMR7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x293efb0d44b8f9abdc891ab894bdfc9874a1abf1ee7b972b919eb27158f225a6",
      "question": "Will Ted Cruz post 0-19 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymark",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "<20: X Tracker's Post Counter for the named candidate's main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts between July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-03T15:43:12Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/tedcruz",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/tedcruz",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 447.10699999999997,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 20,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "activity",
        "social media",
        "ted cruz",
        "ted cruz posts"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-B710V4B8M5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CDLCKXLMR7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1baae96d877f5beb85df61a1ec2f33d3e7d2ddc7d24ea9402af43f669f81420b",
      "question": "Will Ted Cruz post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymark",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "20-39: X Tracker's Post Counter for the named candidate's main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts between July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T16:50:11Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/tedcruz",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/tedcruz",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.012,
      "implied_probability": 0.012,
      "volume_24h_usd": 72.69,
      "volume_total_usd": 705.6855889999999,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 20,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "activity",
        "social media",
        "ted cruz",
        "ted cruz posts"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RLTG6L5WQ8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CDLCKXLMR7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xccc30ae9a1e0367ba7579ed5fecd8bda6267b346dd76c17fc0ce63753d89dfaf",
      "question": "Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymark",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "40-59: X Tracker's Post Counter for the named candidate's main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts between July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/tedcruz",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/tedcruz",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.092,
      "implied_probability": 0.092,
      "volume_24h_usd": 151.595826,
      "volume_total_usd": 263.104426,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 40,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "activity",
        "social media",
        "ted cruz",
        "ted cruz posts"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0KQL0R5HF3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CDLCKXLMR7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x27af196476484b4870f3b223d1f099723262ef00e7c2918c2f1750b43e0a4cb6",
      "question": "Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymark",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "60-79: X Tracker's Post Counter for the named candidate's main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts between July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/tedcruz",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/tedcruz",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.08,
      "implied_probability": 0.08,
      "volume_24h_usd": 221.40999999999997,
      "volume_total_usd": 2192.7824689999998,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 60,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "activity",
        "social media",
        "ted cruz",
        "ted cruz posts"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PVTLM0BYQ0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CDLCKXLMR7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x84d404e861ce16a26983f463376ad543dca25589c17a8f2b3ac26ee553d71c62",
      "question": "Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymark",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "80-99: X Tracker's Post Counter for the named candidate's main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts between July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/tedcruz",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/tedcruz",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.23,
      "implied_probability": 0.23,
      "volume_24h_usd": 719.2099999999999,
      "volume_total_usd": 3220.757864,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 80,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "activity",
        "social media",
        "ted cruz",
        "ted cruz posts"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LXS6KW6HC2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CDLCKXLMR7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa7b3cf030a7a931775f700aa89dafc4342a0e222c71004543d147dcf7d15394d",
      "question": "Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymark",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "100-119: X Tracker's Post Counter for the named candidate's main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts between July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/tedcruz",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/tedcruz",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.23,
      "implied_probability": 0.23,
      "volume_24h_usd": 516.554346,
      "volume_total_usd": 2481.909305,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 100,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "activity",
        "social media",
        "ted cruz",
        "ted cruz posts"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JN9PL0JLG2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CDLCKXLMR7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x40c698d4cdc346662c898be4b1bc719c1c28b46a4928a0f367516e9ec1726b59",
      "question": "Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymark",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "120-139: X Tracker's Post Counter for the named candidate's main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts between July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/tedcruz",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/tedcruz",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.15,
      "implied_probability": 0.15,
      "volume_24h_usd": 212.743153,
      "volume_total_usd": 793.6002660000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 120,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "activity",
        "social media",
        "ted cruz",
        "ted cruz posts"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8THNT9MNY0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CDLCKXLMR7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x541d97e9cb80585affb29820af238ac7c42e5ac2e8cdecad689ea521e178be1d",
      "question": "Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymark",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "140-159: X Tracker's Post Counter for the named candidate's main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts between July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/tedcruz",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/tedcruz",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.034,
      "implied_probability": 0.034,
      "volume_24h_usd": 91.73499999999999,
      "volume_total_usd": 310.881949,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 140,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "activity",
        "social media",
        "ted cruz",
        "ted cruz posts"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PGP32Z64Y0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CDLCKXLMR7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x93d3aa545f801f8ef778f597c15a16c44d0b16faf6ae54d4a5a7fad2eaf5f569",
      "question": "Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymark",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "160-179: X Tracker's Post Counter for the named candidate's main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts between July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/tedcruz",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/tedcruz",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 183.94415,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 160,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "activity",
        "social media",
        "ted cruz",
        "ted cruz posts"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TWS43LNTW3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CDLCKXLMR7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1a99080062e9e79cc15d972ccbb6959184ebf92dd357522e982942ece55cdcf9",
      "question": "Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymark",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "180-199: X Tracker's Post Counter for the named candidate's main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts between July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/tedcruz",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/tedcruz",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 91.73199999999999,
      "volume_total_usd": 208.14619499999998,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 180,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "activity",
        "social media",
        "ted cruz",
        "ted cruz posts"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7XFN074B98",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CDLCKXLMR7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xff8b4a368b85a9b9040df45fa3934bb990b2655afed19b99b49d095f4fd79adb",
      "question": "Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymark",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "200+: X Tracker's Post Counter for the named candidate's main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts between July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/tedcruz",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/tedcruz",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.003,
      "implied_probability": 0.003,
      "volume_24h_usd": 105.141,
      "volume_total_usd": 211.20600000000002,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 200,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "activity",
        "social media",
        "ted cruz",
        "ted cruz posts"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-B710V4B8M5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-04T16:50:11Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q1VR6X9P39",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-03T15:43:12Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-CDLCKXLMR7",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}