{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-M9SZ3R0FM0",
  "slug": "tennessee-governor-republican-primary-winner",
  "question": "Will a Republican win the Tennessee Governor primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "tennessee",
    "republican-primary",
    "2026",
    "governor-race"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the 2026 Tennessee Republican gubernatorial primary, scheduled for August 6, 2026. Polymarket structures the event as parallel binary contracts, one per named candidate plus placeholder slots. Each contract resolves via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against the Tennessee Republican Party's official primary results. Implied probabilities across contracts must sum to one, making cross-contract pricing a direct read on relative candidate standing.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-B5HMFM91J7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.982
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M9SZ3R0FM0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x77fa5217790ee3ceff04cc8e719c5af97616a122286ebdfcfcd232689adc4380",
      "question": "Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Tennessee, scheduled to take place on August 6, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Marsha Blackburn: The Tennessee Republican Party's official announcement of the 2026 gubernatorial primary results, including any runoff, determines the winner by August 6, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-06T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-06T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Tennessee, scheduled to take place on August 6, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "Tennessee Republican Party",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Tennessee Republican Party",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "score": 77,
        "caps": [
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      "tags": [
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      "question": "Will Monty Fritts win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Tennessee, scheduled to take place on August 6, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-08-06T00:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Tennessee, scheduled to take place on August 6, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
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        "caps": [
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      "question": "Will John Rose win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-06T00:00:00Z",
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      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Tennessee, scheduled to take place on August 6, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
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      "question": "Will Candidate A win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-08-06T00:00:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Tennessee, scheduled to take place on August 6, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "question": "Will Candidate B win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Tennessee, scheduled to take place on August 6, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Candidate B: The Tennessee Republican Party's official announcement of the 2026 gubernatorial primary results, including any runoff, determines the winner by August 6, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-06T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-06T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Tennessee, scheduled to take place on August 6, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
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      "question": "Will Candidate C win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-06T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-06T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Tennessee, scheduled to take place on August 6, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M9SZ3R0FM0",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x17ed248624ea25f0b3026c84c4615fef6fc393e4019c85405972fcc3dfad2011",
      "question": "Will Candidate D win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Tennessee, scheduled to take place on August 6, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate D: The Tennessee Republican Party's official announcement of the 2026 gubernatorial primary results, including any runoff, determines the winner by August 6, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-06T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-06T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Tennessee, scheduled to take place on August 6, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
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      "question": "Will Candidate E win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Tennessee, scheduled to take place on August 6, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-06T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-06T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Tennessee, scheduled to take place on August 6, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M9SZ3R0FM0",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x241b57f6fbf602accdb83dc01eeffcb829998a241644eafa9d578752c29f5c8c",
      "question": "Will Candidate F win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Tennessee, scheduled to take place on August 6, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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