{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-CKWRZH1K12",
  "slug": "tesla-and-xai-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30",
  "question": "Will Tesla and xAI officially announce a merger by June 30?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "tech",
    "business",
    "mergers-and-acquisitions",
    "tesla",
    "xai"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Tesla, Inc. and xAI formally announce a merger or acquisition by June 30, 2026. Resolution requires an official announcement from either company. Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle resolves the outcome against that disclosure standard. No corroborating platform prices a rate level or margin, leaving this a single binary structure.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-9WMQ6771W5",
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    "implied_probability": 0
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9WMQ6771W5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CKWRZH1K12",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc49487996b94574c24dfc6250a0dfe01815485c679784822fee6a359022cae0f",
      "question": "Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with xAI, or vice versa, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement by Tesla or xAI within this market's timeframe will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.\n\nAnnouncements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownersh",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "An official announcement by Tesla, Inc. or xAI of a merger or acquisition between the two companies by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with xAI, or vice versa, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement by Tesla or xAI within this market's timeframe will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.\n\nAnnouncements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or xAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from Tesla or xAI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "grade": "C",
        "score": 56,
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 91.28398399999999,
      "volume_total_usd": 110072.89680199994,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-B783023E51",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "corporate",
        "merger",
        "tesla",
        "tesla xai merger",
        "xai"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9WMQ6771W5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-CKWRZH1K12",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}