{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-YG67F2S0Z5",
  "slug": "teslaoptimus-26dec31",
  "question": "Will Tesla Optimus be released this year?",
  "category": "technology",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "tesla-optimus",
    "humanoid-robots",
    "consumer-release",
    "2026",
    "ai-hardware"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Tesla's Optimus humanoid robot reaches commercial sale before January 1, 2027. Resolution depends on Tesla's official announcements confirming units are available for purchase by the public. Kalshi staff determination applies, using Tesla's own communications as the authoritative source.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-B85H2X9X27",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.06,
    "implied_probability": 0.06,
    "as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-B85H2X9X27",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YG67F2S0Z5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "TESLAOPTIMUS-26DEC31",
      "question": "Tesla Optimus on sale before 2027?",
      "description": "Before 2027",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Tesla's official announcements and communications determine whether Optimus is commercially available for purchase before December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Tesla Optimus (or another humanoid robot) is on sale to the general public before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Tesla",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tesla.com/blog",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Tesla",
            "url": "https://www.tesla.com/blog",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Tesla",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 70,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.06,
      "implied_probability": 0.06,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 199.02599999999998,
      "volume_total_usd": 21882.2742,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-24CBB4AFCF",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commercialization",
        "optimus",
        "robotics",
        "tesla",
        "tesla optimus"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-YG67F2S0Z5",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}