{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-W7C51B7XG0",
  "slug": "texas-senate-election-winner",
  "question": "Texas Senate Election Winner",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "texas",
    "senate-race",
    "us-politics",
    "2026"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate general election. Polymarket structures the event as a set of candidate-specific binary contracts, each resolving YES if the Associated Press declares that candidate the winner. All markets resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. The authoritative source is an AP race call, with named candidates including Ken Paxton (R) and James Talarico (D).",
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    "implied_probability": 0.57
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "question": "Will Person B win the Texas Senate race in 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Person B: Associated Press declares the winner of the named party's nominee in the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate general election, including any runoff.",
      "close_at": null,
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      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
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      "close_at": null,
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      "question": "Will Person H win the Texas Senate race in 2026?",
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      "close_at": null,
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      "resolution": {
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
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      "question": "Will Person C win the Texas Senate race in 2026?",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
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