{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-DF7SQRMF47",
  "slug": "third-best-ai-lab-end-of-september-20260722221654811",
  "question": "Will there be a third-best AI lab by the end of September?",
  "category": "technology",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "ai",
    "tech",
    "ranking-methodology",
    "anthropic",
    "september-2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which AI lab holds the third-highest rank on the Arena.ai Text Arena Overall Leaderboard at 12:00 PM ET on September 30, 2026. Each Polymarket contract is a binary yes/no on a single named lab, making the 32 markets a mutually exclusive set covering the full competitor field. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle reading the published \"Lab Rank\" column from Arena.ai directly. Leaderboard methodology changes before the resolution date would constitute a material caveat for any position.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-ZKN4537W92",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.35,
    "implied_probability": 0.35
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HJ0Z0TWHK5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DF7SQRMF47",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2e8a1f9ea2082c9dce5c9c75c013c1ce95a248d14e9e4876f83e882057774a6c",
      "question": "Will Anthropic be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Anthropic: Arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) Leaderboard \"Lab Rank\" column on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines whether the named company ranks third among listed labs.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Text Arena (Overall)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "arena.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 700.4399999999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-FD06F30A1B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "third best ai"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WK78YPKYM4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DF7SQRMF47",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x86460d38e11f2e5de5b748386394aeb61c86b973251aed08ed5d922491d8a52b",
      "question": "Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Meta: Arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) Leaderboard \"Lab Rank\" column on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines whether the named company ranks third among listed labs.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Text Arena (Overall)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "arena.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.042,
      "implied_probability": 0.042,
      "volume_24h_usd": 20,
      "volume_total_usd": 1050.807732,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-71ACD5FDEF",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "third best ai"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZKN4537W92",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DF7SQRMF47",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3e17b452536476db05dc4a38d16aa50113006c347d42519e1561c4e41b869593",
      "question": "Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Google: Arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) Leaderboard \"Lab Rank\" column on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines whether the named company ranks third among listed labs.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Text Arena (Overall)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "arena.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.35,
      "implied_probability": 0.35,
      "volume_24h_usd": 69.88,
      "volume_total_usd": 17148.463224,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-1C58EDA571",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "third best ai"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1QGQW5ZB90",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DF7SQRMF47",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0f1a53eb68b4d21871c94b1fd537f9d48f7a05f28477a15356724677937a4921",
      "question": "Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Alibaba: Arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) Leaderboard \"Lab Rank\" column on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines whether the named company ranks third among listed labs.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Text Arena (Overall)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "arena.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.19,
      "implied_probability": 0.19,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 3825.2711190000005,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-B5D57A9E24",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "third best ai"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TFZY314YJ0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DF7SQRMF47",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x6624d3f6f1847f09d0b5d03b84206fb92601d61f5ca025f30d1759740a35c4d6",
      "question": "Will Moonshot be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Moonshot: Arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) Leaderboard \"Lab Rank\" column on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines whether the named company ranks third among listed labs.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Text Arena (Overall)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "arena.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.06,
      "implied_probability": 0.06,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 774.038791,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-70A823FF8D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "third best ai"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2V8L4PB2Y0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DF7SQRMF47",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x52f723cbf0ab63ddd644cf86b9322c6dbef9f989afffb885499c3c8015a1e648",
      "question": "Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "OpenAI: Arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) Leaderboard \"Lab Rank\" column on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines whether the named company ranks third among listed labs.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Text Arena (Overall)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "arena.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.09,
      "implied_probability": 0.09,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 965.350475,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-CD73292103",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "third best ai"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G1Q9MHYBG3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DF7SQRMF47",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x36a8d44b3bcfbd047c0334640d90723a0c80da1f5629b14b1b3b9e5f08d07bfc",
      "question": "Will Baidu be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Baidu: Arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) Leaderboard \"Lab Rank\" column on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines whether the named company ranks third among listed labs.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Text Arena (Overall)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "arena.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.04,
      "implied_probability": 0.04,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 714.19262,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-7FDF9B9BAA",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "third best ai"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CTYFRQY3M4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DF7SQRMF47",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf1deb7383d381697b8c9b0e95bf4c055f027d16aa602e9929896892b0c7e67fd",
      "question": "Will Z.ai be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Z.ai: Arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) Leaderboard \"Lab Rank\" column on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines whether the named company ranks third among listed labs.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Text Arena (Overall)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "arena.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.079,
      "implied_probability": 0.079,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 710.4455539999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-677CA09C50",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "third best ai"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LCBVPSCGS9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DF7SQRMF47",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x496519fc6f9e67ff321a8d3906cdb17acaeb9dfc9d6cbdf4c4fef59b44759a20",
      "question": "Will Xiaomi be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Xiaomi: Arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) Leaderboard \"Lab Rank\" column on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines whether the named company ranks third among listed labs.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Text Arena (Overall)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "arena.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 421.0209,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-8276CDC2D5",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "third best ai"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P45MFZ3NV1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DF7SQRMF47",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x38147a6721b6b807f70bbfb4fca16cdc313ce5142c7d474232c384ca57a72590",
      "question": "Will SpaceXAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "SpaceXAI: Arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) Leaderboard \"Lab Rank\" column on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines whether the named company ranks third among listed labs.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Text Arena (Overall)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "arena.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.04,
      "implied_probability": 0.04,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 709.0107589999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-46395CFE60",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "third best ai"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-62NC5TZ9Q0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DF7SQRMF47",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5ecf989ef6e45b6a13f6d5fb5679c221f7fcc9e02a8978aea9f5dd446f50c2b4",
      "question": "Will DeepSeek be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "DeepSeek: Arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) Leaderboard \"Lab Rank\" column on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines whether the named company ranks third among listed labs.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Text Arena (Overall)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "arena.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 709.19262,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-A52D082868",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "third best ai"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3FF8CW2906",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DF7SQRMF47",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x6087ddf4aa22caa8d22d59d4497b250db479d8029617df21ada8d34044aff1da",
      "question": "Will Amazon be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Amazon: Arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) Leaderboard \"Lab Rank\" column on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines whether the named company ranks third among listed labs.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Text Arena (Overall)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "arena.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 425.105,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-A548B6AAF6",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "third best ai"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1ZSF434BM8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DF7SQRMF47",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xfcdebb27d0f007ef3d014281debfe784e3c72534cd02ebec1a101bec448b87c2",
      "question": "Will ByteDance be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "ByteDance: Arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) Leaderboard \"Lab Rank\" column on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines whether the named company ranks third among listed labs.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Text Arena (Overall)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "arena.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 486.06999999999994,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-15EAA063D7",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "third best ai"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HJ3QPM5DF6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DF7SQRMF47",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xde11d18c2d9270a5e91b5e554d2cedf771910d2474c3d087304f3f5586ad0f0b",
      "question": "Will Nvidia be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Nvidia: Arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) Leaderboard \"Lab Rank\" column on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines whether the named company ranks third among listed labs.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Text Arena (Overall)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "arena.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 677.1802,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-95D9C232BE",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "third best ai"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3QP3F10WK7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DF7SQRMF47",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf2cef003ff0296f079c8a096fb066411f8eec77920b4210c95e2ed54c6cc9187",
      "question": "Will Thinky be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Thinky: Arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) Leaderboard \"Lab Rank\" column on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines whether the named company ranks third among listed labs.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Text Arena (Overall)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "arena.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 535.14,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-F1273932D1",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "third best ai"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-F8XJQHRKK9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DF7SQRMF47",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7f1ed9412c6468218e1d1aedc75ad793288ae251c0fb25aa99e4f60cec17d2e5",
      "question": "Will MiniMax be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "MiniMax: Arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) Leaderboard \"Lab Rank\" column on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines whether the named company ranks third among listed labs.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Text Arena (Overall)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "arena.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 717.153,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-B65986ED99",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "third best ai"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6TZC6L4N11",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DF7SQRMF47",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc3e0aaec3b91a0b7b65a31261f729893031bd8b2b8a291ad2356e55264a0fa71",
      "question": "Will Mistral be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Mistral: Arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) Leaderboard \"Lab Rank\" column on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines whether the named company ranks third among listed labs.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Text Arena (Overall)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "arena.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 576.8467489999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-63F0EB76BF",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "third best ai"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XPGVHYBGF0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DF7SQRMF47",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x92ec1d0a170d7b39f6e83052d71273b952c3fd1327ab14e4a34d4eb76f4d08fd",
      "question": "Will Meituan be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Meituan: Arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) Leaderboard \"Lab Rank\" column on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines whether the named company ranks third among listed labs.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Text Arena (Overall)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "arena.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 828.4401,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-23B3868E79",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "third best ai"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P41R3D4480",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DF7SQRMF47",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1054b6c7ab82467746e098263d815e4e0a0e3a4e05bcd3d1b63a46ce1b24bf30",
      "question": "Will Tencent be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Tencent: Arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) Leaderboard \"Lab Rank\" column on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines whether the named company ranks third among listed labs.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Text Arena (Overall)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "arena.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.003,
      "implied_probability": 0.003,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 727.154,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-D7AD67442F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "third best ai"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q99G6LWWX0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DF7SQRMF47",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x34a5a3c440e1cbbee511a1bcceaab77674e49050f28f9d67b01c3422b6415427",
      "question": "Will StepFun be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "StepFun: Arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) Leaderboard \"Lab Rank\" column on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines whether the named company ranks third among listed labs.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Text Arena (Overall)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "arena.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 421.1109,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-B307F921ED",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "third best ai"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3H2CK3TKN3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DF7SQRMF47",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x28867d52b3d9b1336f46b6ab252de6aa450acf1023c6752d183fce4516676dc5",
      "question": "Will Microsoft be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Microsoft: Arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) Leaderboard \"Lab Rank\" column on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines whether the named company ranks third among listed labs.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Text Arena (Overall)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "arena.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 730.992047,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-C396EAD639",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "third best ai"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WZH1YJW7D4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DF7SQRMF47",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x83cfb0fada5334364a21efd7cfd0b208ee63dd23d23f8ade9cf4142803b8b992",
      "question": "Will Company A be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Company A: Arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) Leaderboard \"Lab Rank\" column on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines whether the named company ranks third among listed labs.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Text Arena (Overall)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "arena.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-4898F01BC4",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "third best ai"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-441JZHRHL6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DF7SQRMF47",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7448c9e2259892f9d73f215e8ecb0e1e609ca9e634a2a664f40875dd48de6d85",
      "question": "Will Company B be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Company B: Arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) Leaderboard \"Lab Rank\" column on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines whether the named company ranks third among listed labs.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Text Arena (Overall)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "arena.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-8EDAEC4298",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "third best ai"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-53SZC8CYZ1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DF7SQRMF47",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x231d283c075f4714cec7ce510bb16a374fc1bdb58ab17fe1eb3cb63938785b27",
      "question": "Will Company C be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Company C: Arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) Leaderboard \"Lab Rank\" column on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines whether the named company ranks third among listed labs.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Text Arena (Overall)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "arena.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-16A02090C3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "third best ai"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NLQ1YH47T1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DF7SQRMF47",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x73e63c50806bf0c2019895226dbf390b274e900fa7dc8b23f5698d90961ed23c",
      "question": "Will Company D be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Company D: Arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) Leaderboard \"Lab Rank\" column on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines whether the named company ranks third among listed labs.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Text Arena (Overall)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "arena.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-6F57AAA575",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "third best ai"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4L2SVTX030",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DF7SQRMF47",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7614010395beb3d549437bcf27e1931f204ddb942da28decca7e798ad967be93",
      "question": "Will Company E be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Company E: Arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) Leaderboard \"Lab Rank\" column on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines whether the named company ranks third among listed labs.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Text Arena (Overall)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "arena.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-3458F935CF",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "third best ai"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RJCZYNKJJ8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DF7SQRMF47",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4c2f87db9ae55f012c9de2a51f405be5f70d6211c5179aa77adbc648ddc16e36",
      "question": "Will Company F be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Company F: Arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) Leaderboard \"Lab Rank\" column on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines whether the named company ranks third among listed labs.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Text Arena (Overall)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "arena.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-893AB91807",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "third best ai"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G2QLNYC5S5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DF7SQRMF47",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x426ad27b5d87413985d1086fac92338eda8ce60749a5ca818989a3f8cd3c93e9",
      "question": "Will Company G be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Company G: Arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) Leaderboard \"Lab Rank\" column on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines whether the named company ranks third among listed labs.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Text Arena (Overall)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "arena.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-0C82C14459",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "third best ai"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q9QKFWFH19",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DF7SQRMF47",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3db03c1d28af4edb78ce70ee85e6ecfc820f2aa67f5588b98d66704bebede9c0",
      "question": "Will Company H be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Company H: Arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) Leaderboard \"Lab Rank\" column on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines whether the named company ranks third among listed labs.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Text Arena (Overall)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "arena.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-9D3D876D1D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "third best ai"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-77L55WQPT7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DF7SQRMF47",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x73104b034c27c89986d7765899662a06e6f56ebe839c3677b0ae505238b613e6",
      "question": "Will Company I be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Company I: Arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) Leaderboard \"Lab Rank\" column on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines whether the named company ranks third among listed labs.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Text Arena (Overall)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "arena.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-6CD4CA16F3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "third best ai"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JL8F03TKM9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DF7SQRMF47",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x79d80ef70e4618e08d3b98c57af17ca8d584181002c2aeef4e71748669684613",
      "question": "Will Company K be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Company K: Arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) Leaderboard \"Lab Rank\" column on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines whether the named company ranks third among listed labs.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Text Arena (Overall)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "arena.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-2B5B45BE65",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "third best ai"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-483JCR0ZZ5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DF7SQRMF47",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x6f1d8b5ae2f5ae000bfca38a46d8e94ec161f81aaa3684c41beb509bd5ca10e3",
      "question": "Will any other AI lab/company be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Other: Arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) Leaderboard \"Lab Rank\" column on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines whether the named company ranks third among listed labs.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Text Arena (Overall)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "arena.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-29B713B942",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "third best ai"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WZH1YJW7D4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-441JZHRHL6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-53SZC8CYZ1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NLQ1YH47T1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4L2SVTX030",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RJCZYNKJJ8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G2QLNYC5S5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q9QKFWFH19",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-77L55WQPT7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JL8F03TKM9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-483JCR0ZZ5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-DF7SQRMF47",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}