{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZNCX0FDDX4",
  "slug": "third-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-lab-end-of-august-20260720220546729",
  "question": "Will the third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab be determined by the end of August?",
  "category": "technology",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "ai",
    "tech",
    "code-arena",
    "ai-benchmarking",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which AI lab holds the third-highest Lab Rank on the arena.ai Code Arena WebDev leaderboard at 12:00 PM ET on August 31, 2026. Each market is a binary contract on a single named lab, collectively forming an exhaustive set of mutually exclusive outcomes. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle reading the arena.ai leaderboard snapshot at that timestamp. Leaderboard rank methodology changes at arena.ai could affect outcome determination without platform notice.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-CS2153GGG8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.06,
    "implied_probability": 0.06
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FLF9CQSV17",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZNCX0FDDX4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd7435e4ad3f0a46dabab649cf0b4f241a4dbb29468362791ce4d0f0139b9f594",
      "question": "Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under \"Code Arena | WebDev\" filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Code Arena | WebDev\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Moonshot: The arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard \"Lab Rank\" column filtered for Labs on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines if the named company ranks third-highest overall.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under \"Code Arena | WebDev\" filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Code Arena | WebDev\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 73,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.206,
      "implied_probability": 0.206,
      "volume_24h_usd": 348.08572,
      "volume_total_usd": 3725.228816,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-B06FA7E4F9",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "third best code"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PNCJM4N9L8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZNCX0FDDX4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x613053b0675277b689da54260ab751350459406ec95e4517bf170a632160b386",
      "question": "Will Anthropic be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under \"Code Arena | WebDev\" filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Code Arena | WebDev\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Anthropic: The arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard \"Lab Rank\" column filtered for Labs on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines if the named company ranks third-highest overall.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under \"Code Arena | WebDev\" filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Code Arena | WebDev\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 73,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 171.9,
      "volume_total_usd": 625.9745,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-03482D96B1",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "third best code"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CS2153GGG8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZNCX0FDDX4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xaf22de7f3fad61f67bb5b1ba25e96fab5a6eb871b30691fb98e44db28e6fbdc1",
      "question": "Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under \"Code Arena | WebDev\" filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Code Arena | WebDev\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "OpenAI: The arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard \"Lab Rank\" column filtered for Labs on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines if the named company ranks third-highest overall.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under \"Code Arena | WebDev\" filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Code Arena | WebDev\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 73,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.06,
      "implied_probability": 0.06,
      "volume_24h_usd": 366.312904,
      "volume_total_usd": 13058.904898,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-F7244CF249",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "third best code"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GT0VWFDFH5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZNCX0FDDX4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0b613d8b760ad25119ee8294f1b73c2ac449d43b5634baba09fa845819532580",
      "question": "Will Z.ai be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under \"Code Arena | WebDev\" filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Code Arena | WebDev\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Z.ai: The arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard \"Lab Rank\" column filtered for Labs on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines if the named company ranks third-highest overall.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under \"Code Arena | WebDev\" filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Code Arena | WebDev\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 73,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.087,
      "implied_probability": 0.087,
      "volume_24h_usd": 261.236733,
      "volume_total_usd": 834.4757330000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-C0B6C5A28F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "third best code"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-23NRVK1RS9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZNCX0FDDX4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb961af5ac554e99b7242b8bc7e5b3c54c662addd396c89b0e93aceac4ffeea47",
      "question": "Will SpaceXAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under \"Code Arena | WebDev\" filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Code Arena | WebDev\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "SpaceXAI: The arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard \"Lab Rank\" column filtered for Labs on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines if the named company ranks third-highest overall.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under \"Code Arena | WebDev\" filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Code Arena | WebDev\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 73,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 250.66935,
      "volume_total_usd": 800.881863,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-85A9B47F06",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "third best code"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PQL3MK06Q8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZNCX0FDDX4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x07ce2f737e4eaf58db0dbe3e96573f4fa5aa88658a070715095ca80fd7ab2c7d",
      "question": "Will Meta be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under \"Code Arena | WebDev\" filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Code Arena | WebDev\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Meta: The arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard \"Lab Rank\" column filtered for Labs on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines if the named company ranks third-highest overall.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "question": "Will DeepSeek be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "resolution": {
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