{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-R7FSL2ZC20",
  "slug": "tn-05-republican-primary-winner-20260722205329746",
  "question": "Will the Republican primary winner in Tennessee's 5th congressional district be determined by August 6, 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "2026",
    "republican-primary",
    "tennessee",
    "us-house"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the winner of the Tennessee 5th Congressional District Republican primary, scheduled to close August 6, 2026. All six contracts are structured as candidate-specific binary outcomes on Polymarket, with named candidates Charlie Hatcher and Andy Ogles alongside placeholder and field options. Each resolves via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, referencing Republican National Committee sources for nominee determination.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-LSTH3Q50X0",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.8,
    "implied_probability": 0.8
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  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QWXNVT9JV9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-R7FSL2ZC20",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x14ba4a9b638d59ec070561731d266b46f9c4f88c67f1e2357dabab89a807f390",
      "question": "Will Charlie Hatcher be the TN-05 Republican nominee?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Charlie Hatcher: Official Republican Party sources, including the Republican National Committee website, will determine which candidate wins the TN-05 Republican primary on August 6, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-06T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-06T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://rnc.org/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://rnc.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "rnc.org",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.15,
      "implied_probability": 0.15,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2675.9887439999998,
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "nominee",
        "republican primary",
        "tn-05"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LSTH3Q50X0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-R7FSL2ZC20",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x81c49fcaac8e32fd0fc87e108f89493cbb961d3c0fdd872fed515d0693f5322a",
      "question": "Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Andy Ogles: Official Republican Party sources, including the Republican National Committee website, will determine which candidate wins the TN-05 Republican primary on August 6, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-06T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-06T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://rnc.org/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://rnc.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "url": null,
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        "caps": [
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      "volume_24h_usd": 508.2,
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      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-R7FSL2ZC20",
      "platform": "polymarket",
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      "question": "Will Candidate A be the TN-05 Republican nominee?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate A: Official Republican Party sources, including the Republican National Committee website, will determine which candidate wins the TN-05 Republican primary on August 6, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-06T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-06T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://rnc.org/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://rnc.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "rnc.org",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "tags": [
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        "tn-05"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-43QY0K8NM2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-R7FSL2ZC20",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9c6795be98b224ddc93082ddde22ab1e5ec7d0b4c2725292d6cde109c610add6",
      "question": "Will Candidate B be the TN-05 Republican nominee?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate B: Official Republican Party sources, including the Republican National Committee website, will determine which candidate wins the TN-05 Republican primary on August 6, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-06T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-06T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://rnc.org/",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "rnc.org",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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        "tn-05"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PZPHHH0MJ2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-R7FSL2ZC20",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x56c325d9f7f631aec9f9d6c0c88aedb4e218a5615c423d23b111d9b7a12d2717",
      "question": "Will Candidate C be the TN-05 Republican nominee?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate C: Official Republican Party sources, including the Republican National Committee website, will determine which candidate wins the TN-05 Republican primary on August 6, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-06T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-06T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NT6YDM8LD9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-R7FSL2ZC20",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf1c9b23422411821de6b728eb7f4a47b011d519460367f312aaeef158abff11d",
      "question": "Will another candidate be the TN-05 Republican nominee?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Other: Official Republican Party sources, including the Republican National Committee website, will determine which candidate wins the TN-05 Republican primary on August 6, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-06T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-06T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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  "resolution_log": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6JR8CN5BP0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-06T23:59:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
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      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-43QY0K8NM2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
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      "deadline_at": "2026-08-06T23:59:00Z",
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      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PZPHHH0MJ2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
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      "deadline_at": "2026-08-06T23:59:00Z",
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      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NT6YDM8LD9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
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      "outcome": "closed",
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      "deadline_at": "2026-08-06T23:59:00Z",
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      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
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