{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-FFJG2YL577",
  "slug": "todd-blanche-confirmed-as-attorney-general-byptptpt-20260608213256942",
  "question": "Will Todd Blanche be confirmed as Attorney General? (multi-deadline series, 2026-2027)",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-executive-appointments",
    "attorney-general",
    "senate-confirmation",
    "2027"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Todd Blanche receives Senate confirmation as U.S. Attorney General by four sequential deadlines in 2026: June 30, August 30, October 31, and December 31. Each contract is a binary outcome structured as a cumulative hurdle; later-dated contracts subsume the earlier ones. All four resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against publicly observable Senate confirmation records. The June 30 contract resolves earliest, per the resolve_at timestamp of July 1, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-Q15PY2D507",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.8,
    "implied_probability": 0.8
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-W27KGV23M7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FFJG2YL577",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x772bc7a8701da919f93eef93e972479922c2bf34e52497ba3a9a223fda01ea4f",
      "question": "Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Todd Blanche is confirmed as United States Attorney General by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf Todd Blanche's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.\n\nThe Senate must confirm this nominee as United States Attorney General for this market to resolve to \"Yes\". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a \"Yes\" resolution. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "June 30: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T06:59:34Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Todd Blanche is confirmed as United States Attorney General by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf Todd Blanche's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.\n\nThe Senate must confirm this nominee as United States Attorney General for this market to resolve to \"Yes\". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a \"Yes\" resolution. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "U.S. Senate",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "U.S. Senate",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.037,
      "implied_probability": 0.037,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 1159.005049,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "attorney-general",
        "confirmation",
        "todd blanche attorney",
        "todd-blanche",
        "us-politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q15PY2D507",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FFJG2YL577",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x66a6d4b5efe16194979e39a7f452a8c860b054724a1e27eec822fae17f980def",
      "question": "Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Todd Blanche is confirmed as United States Attorney General by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf Todd Blanche's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.\n\nThe Senate must confirm this nominee as United States Attorney General for this market to resolve to \"Yes\". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a \"Yes\" resolution. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "August 30: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Todd Blanche is confirmed as United States Attorney General by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf Todd Blanche's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.\n\nThe Senate must confirm this nominee as United States Attorney General for this market to resolve to \"Yes\". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a \"Yes\" resolution. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "U.S. Senate",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "U.S. Senate",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.8,
      "implied_probability": 0.8,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2606.793183,
      "volume_total_usd": 11203.683233000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "attorney-general",
        "confirmation",
        "todd blanche attorney",
        "todd-blanche",
        "us-politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L2P3DR57Q3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FFJG2YL577",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3317d88f9c89790542a268c62914df649ff8fedff5da950905c30fe62ac9b04f",
      "question": "Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Todd Blanche is confirmed as United States Attorney General by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf Todd Blanche's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.\n\nThe Senate must confirm this nominee as United States Attorney General for this market to resolve to \"Yes\". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a \"Yes\" resolution. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "October 31: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Todd Blanche is confirmed as United States Attorney General by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf Todd Blanche's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.\n\nThe Senate must confirm this nominee as United States Attorney General for this market to resolve to \"Yes\". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a \"Yes\" resolution. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "U.S. Senate",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "U.S. Senate",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.91,
      "implied_probability": 0.91,
      "volume_24h_usd": 162.73,
      "volume_total_usd": 4164.682570000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "attorney-general",
        "confirmation",
        "todd blanche attorney",
        "todd-blanche",
        "us-politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BLYV3KZZN3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FFJG2YL577",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf94dd1f50fbd3dd3fa834e6bae74417a9b5261c7f447d35d5622b9eaaec38cbe",
      "question": "Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Todd Blanche is confirmed as United States Attorney General by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf Todd Blanche's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.\n\nThe Senate must confirm this nominee as United States Attorney General for this market to resolve to \"Yes\". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a \"Yes\" resolution. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Todd Blanche is confirmed as United States Attorney General by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf Todd Blanche's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.\n\nThe Senate must confirm this nominee as United States Attorney General for this market to resolve to \"Yes\". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a \"Yes\" resolution. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "U.S. Senate",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "U.S. Senate",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.94,
      "implied_probability": 0.94,
      "volume_24h_usd": 10.07,
      "volume_total_usd": 4480.457368000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "attorney-general",
        "confirmation",
        "todd blanche attorney",
        "todd-blanche",
        "us-politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-W27KGV23M7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-07-01T06:59:34Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-FFJG2YL577",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}