{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-7MG9GSHRL3",
  "slug": "tori-finance-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch",
  "question": "Will Tori Finance's fully diluted valuation be above ___ one day after launch?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "fdv-valuation",
    "token-launch",
    "tori-finance",
    "2028",
    "post-launch-metrics"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Tori Finance's fully diluted valuation one calendar day after token launch. Seven binary strike thresholds span $50M to $1B, each asking whether FDV exceeds that level at 4:00 PM ET. Each strike is an independent binary; together they imply a market-derived probability distribution across FDV outcomes. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, using total supply multiplied by price as the FDV calculation method.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-VCSPC8XHY3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.46,
    "implied_probability": 0.46
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PDRD96CJC1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7MG9GSHRL3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x455e2e18101c6695420f5b8b0425121fed500749a5e68835d454937ab1de24a5",
      "question": "Tori FDV above $50M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Tori's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Tori will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this mark",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$50M: The referenced token's Fully Diluted Valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after official public launch, determined via UMA Optimistic Oracle by January 1, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Tori's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Tori will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Tori (https://x.com/tori_finance) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/tori_finance",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/tori_finance",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/tori_finance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 40,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.27,
      "implied_probability": 0.27,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 727.91484,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 50000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-2C5551EF9E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "tori",
        "tori finance fdv"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VCSPC8XHY3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7MG9GSHRL3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7fa7fbf66935f5a318910d9d34dffd87fdaf5ca83becfcb583b584b0034b0533",
      "question": "Tori FDV above $100M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Tori's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Tori will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this mark",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$100M: The referenced token's Fully Diluted Valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after official public launch, determined via UMA Optimistic Oracle by January 1, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Tori's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Tori will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Tori (https://x.com/tori_finance) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/tori_finance",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/tori_finance",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/tori_finance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 40,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.46,
      "implied_probability": 0.46,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 11843.760364999998,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 100000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-905C584414",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "tori",
        "tori finance fdv"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-W81BFKSMR2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7MG9GSHRL3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x77ac37abf2e3b7648ca1dd937a4a48c69ef313a1739d4b54ef720f7f2acfa2e0",
      "question": "Tori FDV above $200M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Tori's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Tori will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this mark",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$200M: The referenced token's Fully Diluted Valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after official public launch, determined via UMA Optimistic Oracle by January 1, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Tori's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Tori will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Tori (https://x.com/tori_finance) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/tori_finance",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/tori_finance",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/tori_finance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 40,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.23,
      "implied_probability": 0.23,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1093.728274,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 200000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-178B1AC9D3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "tori",
        "tori finance fdv"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2P2DVVGSS1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7MG9GSHRL3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xafc67b1f00c263b0189cbd3506fed054699ba738f62d093ebb9e0d3c229cc2c3",
      "question": "Tori FDV above $300M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Tori's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Tori will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this mark",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$300M: The referenced token's Fully Diluted Valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after official public launch, determined via UMA Optimistic Oracle by January 1, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Tori's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Tori will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Tori (https://x.com/tori_finance) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/tori_finance",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/tori_finance",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/tori_finance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 40,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 307.32454,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 300000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-16154DA417",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "tori",
        "tori finance fdv"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MDMVPYC838",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7MG9GSHRL3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x373d821885ae1394625e8b4208c024b222cbfa80e73b298aeff38ec702b7db02",
      "question": "Tori FDV above $500M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Tori's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Tori will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this mark",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$500M: The referenced token's Fully Diluted Valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after official public launch, determined via UMA Optimistic Oracle by January 1, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Tori's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Tori will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Tori (https://x.com/tori_finance) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/tori_finance",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/tori_finance",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/tori_finance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 40,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": null,
      "implied_probability": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": null,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 500000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-B5F95CDCF0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "tori",
        "tori finance fdv"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C9TSQMH0T0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7MG9GSHRL3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x246b27ddb97155a48e8db7d141f00b2b55b49ca8299e5da502feb04a182adaa1",
      "question": "Tori FDV above $700M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Tori's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Tori will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this mark",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$700M: The referenced token's Fully Diluted Valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after official public launch, determined via UMA Optimistic Oracle by January 1, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Tori's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Tori will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Tori (https://x.com/tori_finance) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/tori_finance",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/tori_finance",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/tori_finance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 40,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": null,
      "implied_probability": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": null,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 700000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-2E88269F37",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "tori",
        "tori finance fdv"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WV561MW9T5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7MG9GSHRL3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xdb82bd8e2c2c9790dbf81b6427cdd2c1bf52e1f7b123d55facebbacba926465b",
      "question": "Tori FDV above $1B one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Tori's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Tori will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this mark",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$1B: The referenced token's Fully Diluted Valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after official public launch, determined via UMA Optimistic Oracle by January 1, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Tori's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Tori will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Tori (https://x.com/tori_finance) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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