{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-MDRDNHNYP1",
  "slug": "toronto-mayoral-election-winner-545",
  "question": "Will a new mayor be elected in Toronto by the 2026 election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "canada",
    "toronto",
    "2026",
    "municipal-elections"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the Toronto mayoral election on October 26, 2026. Each Polymarket binary asks whether a specific named candidate wins; together they form a mutually exclusive exhaustive set across the full candidate field. All contracts resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle using credible post-election reporting. Named candidates include Olivia Chow, Ana Bailão, Michael Ford, Marco Mendicino, Anthony Furey, Brad Bradford, and Kevin Clarke, plus an \"other\" catch-all.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-YS1XFTQ1X1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.76,
    "implied_probability": 0.76
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GBMNR8CSG3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MDRDNHNYP1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8f79abd0aa1701210fa66259b8fda04a587422f1cd8dacf954433b549fafde80",
      "question": "Will Person L win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to off",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Person L: The named candidate who wins the Toronto mayoral election on October 26, 2026, as determined by credible reporting consensus or official results by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-26T12:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-26T12:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "toronto mayoral election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M6KR2ZYPB7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MDRDNHNYP1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x07efa5c0c04a0b9ad4ec6a30cce4fc0c5aec6951b30ce3ea5efdc1b69f5c368a",
      "question": "Will Person T win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to off",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Person T: The named candidate who wins the Toronto mayoral election on October 26, 2026, as determined by credible reporting consensus or official results by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-26T12:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-26T12:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZRRSR0CK01",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MDRDNHNYP1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xfd0dd5412aa87322e57832e9f628a852735252b5b08030113a8ba8e3abcfca78",
      "question": "Will Person Z win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to off",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Person Z: The named candidate who wins the Toronto mayoral election on October 26, 2026, as determined by credible reporting consensus or official results by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-26T12:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-26T12:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "toronto mayoral election"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KF7HXD12M4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MDRDNHNYP1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xbdfde2fd2472d48a0b126c360eab593687d87208a0f54a89079680af25007e92",
      "question": "Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to off",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Brad Bradford: The named candidate who wins the Toronto mayoral election on October 26, 2026, as determined by credible reporting consensus or official results by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-26T12:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-26T12:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.2,
      "implied_probability": 0.2,
      "volume_24h_usd": 14.390238,
      "volume_total_usd": 24182.224553999997,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "toronto mayoral election"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-72TJVYP0S0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MDRDNHNYP1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x6bc524ffd762f834357072923abe48110ad6a117fd5cf2d52077175f5851114b",
      "question": "Will Anthony Furey win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to off",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Anthony Furey: The named candidate who wins the Toronto mayoral election on October 26, 2026, as determined by credible reporting consensus or official results by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-26T12:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-26T12:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 8290.970483000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "toronto mayoral election"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-F526Q0LXT9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MDRDNHNYP1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa8f30541b2425e5c9b684959156698ddaaefa214a86053b9273a9fb533fbe943",
      "question": "Will Kevin Clarke win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to off",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Kevin Clarke: The named candidate who wins the Toronto mayoral election on October 26, 2026, as determined by credible reporting consensus or official results by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-26T12:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-26T12:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 8612.172617,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "toronto mayoral election"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1VFFN2CNR9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MDRDNHNYP1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x32c8514402a9ed85c9ad53bae6dd54ba750b8d3eb5123e8cc83865ab83b03a13",
      "question": "Will someone else win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to off",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Other: The named candidate who wins the Toronto mayoral election on October 26, 2026, as determined by credible reporting consensus or official results by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-26T12:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-26T12:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
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      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "toronto mayoral election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-K6RL0F59Q3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MDRDNHNYP1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7f55143ef01eabd8eed507f6679b779e4e24eaf01f5962decc66fbf8b527b971",
      "question": "Will Person A win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to off",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Person A: The named candidate who wins the Toronto mayoral election on October 26, 2026, as determined by credible reporting consensus or official results by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-26T12:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-26T12:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "toronto mayoral election"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RZ9PK8RPR5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MDRDNHNYP1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-10-26T12:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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