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    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-CQXHY1ZFM8",
  "slug": "trump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-over-byptptpt-20260607232555290",
  "question": "Will Trump announce a US-Iran ceasefire by 2026-07-01?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "geopolitics",
    "trump",
    "us-iran-relations",
    "middle-east",
    "ceasefire-negotiations",
    "2026"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Trump announces a US-Iran ceasefire end by four discrete deadlines in 2026: June 8, June 12, June 15, and June 30. All four are binary Polymarket contracts resolved via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. Earlier strikes imply later ones, creating an implicit probability term structure across deadlines. Resolution depends solely on a Trump announcement, not on underlying military or diplomatic status.",
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-S5J74JNPZ3",
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "question": "Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the U.S. publicly and officially announces, between Market Creation and the End Date (11:59 PM ET) that no ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran is in effect. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nQualifying statements must clearly indicate that there is no longer any commitment in effect between the U.S. and Iran to refrain from military hostilities. \n\nStatements that the US is no longer committed to such an agreement will qualify. \n\nThe expiration of a prior agreed ceasefire period without extension will not alone qualify. \n\nStatements that merely r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "June 30: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the U.S. publicly and officially announces, between Market Creation and the End Date (11:59 PM ET) that no ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran is in effect. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nQualifying statements must clearly indicate that there is no longer any commitment in effect between the U.S. and Iran to refrain from military hostilities. \n\nStatements that the US is no longer committed to such an agreement will qualify. \n\nThe expiration of a prior agreed ceasefire period without extension will not alone qualify. \n\nStatements that merely reference violations, breaches, or non-compliance with the ceasefire will not alone qualify.\n\nAnnouncements of a new agreement (e.g, a broader peace framework or ceasefire extension) that supersedes the initial ceasefire agreement while maintaining a mutual commitment to a halt in military hostilities will not qualify. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government and the U.S. military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nInformal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify.\n\nWritten public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account), and videos posted on his social media accounts, will qualify. \n\nNote: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the ceasefire actually ends in practice or whether hostilities resume will not be considered.",
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      "close_at": "2026-06-13T03:59:00Z",
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      "question": "Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?",
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      "close_at": "2026-06-16T03:59:00Z",
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      "close_at": "2026-06-09T03:59:00Z",
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