{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-V42QZ4PDJ7",
  "slug": "trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-byptptpt-20260710184334563",
  "question": "Will Trump declassify new UFO files by 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "trump",
    "politics",
    "ufo-disclosure",
    "declassification",
    "pop-culture",
    "2026"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether the Trump administration will formally declassify new UAP/UFO government files by sequential 2026 deadlines. Each contract is a binary strike on the same underlying event at July 17, July 31, August 15, and August 31 cutoffs. Earlier strikes nest inside later ones, so July 17 resolution propagates conditionally through the chain. All four markets resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-RBCQ03Z313",
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    "implied_probability": 0.182
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
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      "question": "Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 17?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.\n\nAnnouncements of declassif",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "July 17: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-17T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-18T06:08:27Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.\n\nAnnouncements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "tags": [
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      "question": "Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.\n\nAnnouncements of declassif",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "July 31: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.\n\nAnnouncements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
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      "question": "Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 15?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.\n\nAnnouncements of declassif",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "August 15: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-15T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-15T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.\n\nAnnouncements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "volume_24h_usd": 22.998665,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-D0BN1T6TC0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-V42QZ4PDJ7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x95bf996a9e83c4618710d593514c7dbefb988e4c3847005f6d852dd18caf9271",
      "question": "Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.\n\nAnnouncements of declassif",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "August 31: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.\n\nAnnouncements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
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      "volume_24h_usd": 115.898471,
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      "tags": [
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  "resolution_log": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C7CD10WWF9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-18T06:08:27Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
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    "ref": "CM-EVT-V42QZ4PDJ7",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}