{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-BBT6G79K08",
  "slug": "trump-fully-suspends-entry-to-the-us-for-more-countries-by",
  "question": "Will Trump suspend U.S. entry for more countries by 2026-07-15?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "trump",
    "us-immigration",
    "travel-ban",
    "executive-action",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "Both markets track whether the Trump administration issues a new entry suspension proclamation expanding the restricted-country list. The June 30 contract prices near-term executive action; the December 31 contract prices the same outcome over a longer horizon. Both resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle referencing the White House official presidential actions archive. The June 30 market resolved at July 15, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-GCF4R9R3R3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.008,
    "implied_probability": 0.008
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GCF4R9R3R3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BBT6G79K08",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xeabc30243adc43df3a0608ca3c2a073686f0d76e810f13e5604d34610e43c234",
      "question": "Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by by June 30?",
      "description": "On December 16, 2025, President Donald Trump issued a proclamation titled “Restricting and Limiting the Entry of Foreign Nationals to Protect the Security of the United States”, which updated and expanded partial and full suspensions of entry into the U.S. for nationals of various countries (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/12/restricting-and-limiting-the-entry-of-foreign-nationals-to-protect-the-security-of-the-united-states/). \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump issues any executive order, signs any bill into law, or if the Trump administration otherw",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "June 30: The White House official presidential actions archive confirms whether a new entry suspension proclamation or executive order affecting additional countries was issued by July 15, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-15T00:10:56Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "On December 16, 2025, President Donald Trump issued a proclamation titled “Restricting and Limiting the Entry of Foreign Nationals to Protect the Security of the United States”, which updated and expanded partial and full suspensions of entry into the U.S. for nationals of various countries (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/12/restricting-and-limiting-the-entry-of-foreign-nationals-to-protect-the-security-of-the-united-states/). \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump issues any executive order, signs any bill into law, or if the Trump administration otherwise takes any formal action which is aimed at fully or partially suspending entry into the U.S. for nationals of any specific, additional country between market issuance and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying action must be aimed at restricting or banning entry into the United States for nationals of a particular country or countries. Blanket actions to restrict entry for individuals holding certain visa classes, or other generalized entry restrictions, which do not target a specific country or countries, will not count.\n\nAdditional country refers to any country not subject to a full or partial suspension of entry as of the December 16 proclamation.\n\nAny qualifying government action taken within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of when the policy takes effect. However, announcements of future or planned bans which are not made official through government action will not qualify.\n\nAny action meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/12/restricting-and-limiting-the-entry-of-foreign-nationals-to-protect-the-security-of-the-united-states/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "whitehouse.gov",
            "url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/12/restricting-and-limiting-the-entry-of-foreign-nationals-to-protect-the-security-of-the-united-states/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the US federal government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "whitehouse.gov",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.008,
      "implied_probability": 0.008,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 13824.21935,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "immigration",
        "trump",
        "trump entry suspension",
        "u.s. policy"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-85KX43KCD5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BBT6G79K08",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5cd420bc92ac455342c51c1c78f07d8e3de7eeed4ca2ade2759e5eae763f3d5f",
      "question": "Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by December 31, 2026?",
      "description": "On December 16, 2025, President Donald Trump issued a proclamation titled “Restricting and Limiting the Entry of Foreign Nationals to Protect the Security of the United States”, which updated and expanded partial and full suspensions of entry into the U.S. for nationals of various countries (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/12/restricting-and-limiting-the-entry-of-foreign-nationals-to-protect-the-security-of-the-united-states/). \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump issues any executive order, signs any bill into law, or if the Trump administration otherw",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2026: The White House official presidential actions archive confirms whether a new entry suspension proclamation or executive order affecting additional countries was issued by July 15, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "On December 16, 2025, President Donald Trump issued a proclamation titled “Restricting and Limiting the Entry of Foreign Nationals to Protect the Security of the United States”, which updated and expanded partial and full suspensions of entry into the U.S. for nationals of various countries (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/12/restricting-and-limiting-the-entry-of-foreign-nationals-to-protect-the-security-of-the-united-states/). \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump issues any executive order, signs any bill into law, or if the Trump administration otherwise takes any formal action which is aimed at fully or partially suspending entry into the U.S. for nationals of any specific, additional country between market issuance and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying action must be aimed at restricting or banning entry into the United States for nationals of a particular country or countries. Blanket actions to restrict entry for individuals holding certain visa classes, or other generalized entry restrictions, which do not target a specific country or countries, will not count.\n\nAdditional country refers to any country not subject to a full or partial suspension of entry as of the December 16 proclamation.\n\nAny qualifying government action taken within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of when the policy takes effect. However, announcements of future or planned bans which are not made official through government action will not qualify.\n\nAny action meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/12/restricting-and-limiting-the-entry-of-foreign-nationals-to-protect-the-security-of-the-united-states/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "whitehouse.gov",
            "url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/12/restricting-and-limiting-the-entry-of-foreign-nationals-to-protect-the-security-of-the-united-states/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the US federal government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "whitehouse.gov",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.62,
      "implied_probability": 0.62,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 964.3510730000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "immigration",
        "trump",
        "trump entry suspension",
        "u.s. policy"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GCF4R9R3R3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-15T00:10:56Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-BBT6G79K08",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}