{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-NVR03MS8V9",
  "slug": "trump-on-250-bill-this-year",
  "question": "Will Trump appear on a $250 bill this year?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "trump",
    "currency-design",
    "us-government",
    "2026",
    "unlikely-outcome"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether the U.S. Bureau of Engraving and Printing will officially announce a $250 bill featuring Donald Trump by December 31, 2026. Only one platform structures this event, so no cross-platform contrast applies. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle referencing official Bureau of Engraving and Printing announcements. No $250 denomination currently exists in U.S. currency, making any affirmative resolution contingent on a novel statutory and production process.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-PLMX8JV4T5",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.08,
    "implied_probability": 0.08
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PLMX8JV4T5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NVR03MS8V9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xef9efe2c1d1484f89e11e800bd26831a0ad1c7bc8bd71e3a7190c942765b50ad",
      "question": "Trump on $250 bill this year?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.\n\nA bill will be considered \"officially issued\" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.\n\nA quali",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The U.S. Bureau of Engraving and Printing's official announcements determine whether a $250 bill featuring Donald Trump was issued by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.\n\nA bill will be considered \"officially issued\" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.\n\nA qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from the U.S. federal government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.08,
      "implied_probability": 0.08,
      "volume_24h_usd": 270,
      "volume_total_usd": 13862.178502000004,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "treasury",
        "trump",
        "trump 250 bill",
        "us currency"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-NVR03MS8V9",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}