{
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    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-7V2XTJKR93",
  "slug": "trump-orders-federal-review-for-ai-model-releases-by-may-31",
  "question": "Will Trump order a federal review of AI model releases by June 2026?",
  "category": "technology",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "trump-ai-policy",
    "federal-regulation",
    "ai-governance",
    "2026",
    "tech-politics"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "Both markets track whether Trump orders a federal review process for AI model releases. The May 31 market closes first; the June 30 market extends the resolution window by one month. Both resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against the same threshold: enacted federal legislation or executive action. The staggered deadlines let traders price near-term versus extended policy timing separately.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-0BCHM3KGY8",
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    "implied_probability": 0
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7V2XTJKR93",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x5f676152898df5e98578b6e3c59ed03a86193db4a6431436e150ed0698e7f9eb",
      "question": "Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates, authorizes, or directs a federal government review process for the public release of new artificial intelligence models by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying action must create a federal process for reviewing or approving the public release of new artificial intelligence models. A qualifying review process may apply to artificial intelligence models generally, only to models meeting specified criteria (e.g.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "May 31: Federal legislation or executive action creating a federal review process for AI model public releases resolves via UMA Optimistic Oracle by June 1, 2026, 12:39 UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-05-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-05-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates, authorizes, or directs a federal government review process for the public release of new artificial intelligence models by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying action must create a federal process for reviewing or approving the public release of new artificial intelligence models. A qualifying review process may apply to artificial intelligence models generally, only to models meeting specified criteria (e.g.capability, safety, cybersecurity, national-security, or other risk-based criteria), or to models selected for review at the discretion of the federal government.\n\nLegislation or executive actions which create a group or committee responsible for overseeing artificial intelligence matters will only qualify if they explicitly create a qualifying review process.\n\nNon-binding statements, proposals, unconfirmed reports, or federal review of artificial intelligence models solely for government procurement or internal government use will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 159724.6260309986,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-333350D72C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "executive action",
        "regulation",
        "trump",
        "trump federal ai"
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7V2XTJKR93",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xecca02f2cf8af5c83e14ef4fcd3d41e8d6f7c7602aa0245d16956a2404081ac8",
      "question": "Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates, authorizes, or directs a federal government review process for the public release of new artificial intelligence models by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying action must create a federal process for reviewing or approving the public release of new artificial intelligence models. A qualifying review process may apply to artificial intelligence models generally, only to models meeting specified criteria (e.g.",
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      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "June 30: Federal legislation or executive action creating a federal review process for AI model public releases resolves via UMA Optimistic Oracle by June 1, 2026, 12:39 UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates, authorizes, or directs a federal government review process for the public release of new artificial intelligence models by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying action must create a federal process for reviewing or approving the public release of new artificial intelligence models. A qualifying review process may apply to artificial intelligence models generally, only to models meeting specified criteria (e.g.capability, safety, cybersecurity, national-security, or other risk-based criteria), or to models selected for review at the discretion of the federal government.\n\nLegislation or executive actions which create a group or committee responsible for overseeing artificial intelligence matters will only qualify if they explicitly create a qualifying review process.\n\nNon-binding statements, proposals, unconfirmed reports, or federal review of artificial intelligence models solely for government procurement or internal government use will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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      "question_id": "CMX-5935F137A9",
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      "tags": [
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        "regulation",
        "trump",
        "trump federal ai"
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  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MCF1DJ3W35",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-04T00:31:05Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
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      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-01T12:39:59Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
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    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-7V2XTJKR93",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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