{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-9L2X7L3M93",
  "slug": "trump-removed-via-25th-amendment-before-2027",
  "question": "Will Trump be removed via the 25th Amendment before 2027?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "trump",
    "us-government",
    "constitutional-procedures",
    "2026",
    "presidential-succession"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Donald Trump is formally removed from the US presidency via Section 4 of the 25th Amendment before January 1, 2027. Section 4 requires the Vice President and a majority of Cabinet members to declare the president unable to discharge his duties. Resolution is handled through Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. Only one platform structures this event, so no cross-platform contrast applies.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-YQ41D6BCL3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.033,
    "implied_probability": 0.033
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YQ41D6BCL3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9L2X7L3M93",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x57daa520ae47dc77352fe7387adf820c4ab58d46d9ffb814849ef5e672e1322a",
      "question": "Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nIf Trump ceases",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether Donald Trump was formally removed from the US presidency via Section 4 of the 25th Amendment by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nIf Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.033,
      "implied_probability": 0.033,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 45883.94371700003,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "25th amendment",
        "presidency",
        "removal",
        "trump",
        "trump 25th amendment"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-9L2X7L3M93",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}