{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-D8BCCD43C2",
  "slug": "tyler-robinson-convicted-of-homicide",
  "question": "Will Tyler Robinson be convicted of homicide by December 31, 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "criminal-justice",
    "legal-conviction",
    "2026",
    "high-profile-case"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Tyler Robinson will be convicted of homicide in Utah District Court proceedings. The case resolves against STATE OF UTAH v. TYLER JAMES ROBINSON, OTN 70090584. Resolution is determined by Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle referencing official Utah District Court records. The market closes December 31, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-V8CDSFPPL4",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.46,
    "implied_probability": 0.46
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-V8CDSFPPL4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D8BCCD43C2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xdfea8851512360fb70c4b4ed29ed369b6dbcdfc58b2493b66cba65faab622129",
      "question": "Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?",
      "description": "Tyler Robinson has been charged with Aggravated Murder by The State of Utah for the death of Charlie Kirk. You can read more about that here: https://atty.utahcounty.gov/cms/uploads/TJR_Information_49872215e3.pdf\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Tyler Robinson is convicted of any criminal homicide offense in the ongoing STATE OF UTAH v. TYLER JAMES ROBINSON (OTN: 70090584) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rend",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Utah District Court records in STATE OF UTAH v. TYLER JAMES ROBINSON (OTN: 70090584) determine whether Tyler Robinson is convicted of any criminal homicide offense by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Tyler Robinson has been charged with Aggravated Murder by The State of Utah for the death of Charlie Kirk. You can read more about that here: https://atty.utahcounty.gov/cms/uploads/TJR_Information_49872215e3.pdf\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Tyler Robinson is convicted of any criminal homicide offense in the ongoing STATE OF UTAH v. TYLER JAMES ROBINSON (OTN: 70090584) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf this specific charge is dropped, or otherwise changed such that it is no longer considered a criminal homicide offense (https://le.utah.gov/xcode/Title76/Chapter5/76-5-S201.html), this market will immediately resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a homicide conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "atty.utahcounty.gov",
            "url": "https://atty.utahcounty.gov/cms/uploads/TJR_Information_49872215e3.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "le.utah.gov",
            "url": "https://le.utah.gov/xcode/Title76/Chapter5/76-5-S201.html",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official judgment delivered by the ruling court",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "official judgment delivered by the ruling court",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 85,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.46,
      "implied_probability": 0.46,
      "volume_24h_usd": 4.25,
      "volume_total_usd": 256197.63069699967,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "conviction",
        "criminal",
        "legal",
        "tyler robinson homicide"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-D8BCCD43C2",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}