{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-DLDRWLFFN6",
  "slug": "uae-x-saudi-arabia-sever-diplomatic-relations-in-2026",
  "question": "Will the UAE and Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "geopolitics",
    "middle-east",
    "diplomatic-relations",
    "gcc-states",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether the UAE and Saudi Arabia formally sever diplomatic relations before end of 2026. Resolution requires official government announcements from either state confirming suspension of ties. Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle arbitrates the outcome against those official declarations. No cross-platform structural contrast applies; only one market exists here.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-JHBZKLWYF5",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.043,
    "implied_probability": 0.043
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JHBZKLWYF5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DLDRWLFFN6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8e9e11eabbad794acde6b941f89b7f76cf9a02b88da4d606cc9dcdb998374035",
      "question": "UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if either the United Arab Emirates (UAE) or Saudi Arabia formally announces that they have suspended diplomatic relations with the other by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from either respective government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Official announcements by UAE or Saudi Arabian government officials regarding suspension of diplomatic relations, or consensus of credible international news reporting by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if either the United Arab Emirates (UAE) or Saudi Arabia formally announces that they have suspended diplomatic relations with the other by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from either respective government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 40,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.043,
      "implied_probability": 0.043,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 110805.31964800002,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "diplomacy",
        "middle east",
        "saudi arabia",
        "uae",
        "uae saudi arabia"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-DLDRWLFFN6",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}